Archive for the ‘BOPMadness’ Category

2016 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) predictions! (updated wih results)

February 28, 2016

2016 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) predictions! (updated wih results)

It’s almost time for the Oscars!

Thanks to everyone who made predictions in our annual BOPMadness!

Here are our group predictions, a couacple of hours before the first envelope is opened on stage:

Adapted Screenplay: WINNER: The Big Short (5 points…predicted)

Adapted Screenplay

Animated Short: WINNER: Bear Story (3 points)

Animated Short

Animated Feature: WINNER: Inside Out (5 points…predicted)

Animated Feature

Best Picture: WINNER: Spotlight (8 points)

Best Picture

Cinematography: WINNER: The Revenant (5 points…predicted)

Cinematography

Costume: WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road (5 points…predicted)

Costume

Director: Alejande Gonzalez: WINNER: The Revenant (5 points…predicted)

Director

Documentary Feature: WINNER: Amy (5 points…predicted)

Documentary Feature

Documentary Short: WINNER: A Girl in the River (4.5 points…tie prediction)

Documentary Short

Film Editing: WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road (4 points)

Film Editing

Foreign Language Film: WINNER: Son of Saul (5 points…predicted)

Foreign Language Film

Hair and Makeup: WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road (3 points…predicted)

Hair and Makeup

Lead Actor: WINNER: Leonardo DiCaprio (5 points…predicted)

Lead Actor

Lead Actress: WINNER: Brie Larson (5 points…predicted)

Lead Actress

Live Action Short: WINNER: Stutterer (3 points)

Live Action Short

Original Screenplay: WINNER: Spotlight (5 points…predicted)

Original Screenplay

Production Design: WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road (5 points…predicted)

Production Design

Score: WINNER: The Hateful Eight (5 points…predicted)

Score

Song

Song

Sound Editing: WINNER: Mad Max: Fury Road (5 points…predicted)

Sound Editing

Sound Mixing: Mad Max: Fury Road (5 points…predicted)

Sound Mixing

Supporting Actor: WINNER: Mark Rylance (4 points)

Supporting Actor

Supporting Actress: WINNER: Alicia Vikander (5 points…predicted)

Supporting Actress

Visual Effects: WINNER: Ex Machina (1 point)

Visual Effects

We’ll check back with winners…enjoy the show, and good luck!

Join thousands of readers and try the free The Measured Circle magazine at Flipboard

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the  The Measured Circle blog. To support this or other blogs/organizations, buy  Amazon Gift Cards from a link on the site, then use those to buy your items. There will be no cost to you, and a benefit to them.

2016 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness)

February 17, 2016

2016 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness)

For more than twenty years, I’ve been doing an Oscar prediction contest.

Important note: there is no fee to play the  game, and we only play for that most valuable of human possessions…bragging rights. 

We do ours a bit differently than most. You rank every nominee, and then you get the number of points you assigned to the winner.

For example, there are five nominees for Actor in a Leading Role. You would assign the one you thought the Academy was most likely to pick (not necessarily the one you thought most deserved it) with a 5. Your second most likely would be a 4, and so on.

As we did last year, we are using SurveyMonkey, rather than Excel.

That means you can play anonymously, if you prefer…we also think many people may find it easier.

There are three surveys (we are currently limited to no more than ten questions per survey):

Big Six and Screenwriting:

https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/JFPH3V7

Design and Appearance:

https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/CNKKMZ5

Whole Movies and Music

https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/JQKBKT8

If you would like to be recognized as a winner of the Big Six (the acting awards, Best Picture, and Best Director), the Incredibly Difficult Maven Section (everything else), and/or Overall, you’ll have the opportunity at the site to enter your name (that will not be public). If you’d like to receive future communications about BOPMadness, you can also enter your e-mail address there (again, that will not be public).

If you have any questions, you can comment on this post. If you’d like your comment to remain private, please let me know in the comment.

We will post the group predictions here before the Oscar ceremony on Sunday, February 28th.

The more people who play, the more accurate we tend to be…feel free to share this with anyone you think would like to participate.

See you in the movies!

Join thousands of readers and try the free The Measured Circle magazine at Flipboard

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the  The Measured Circle blog. To support this or other blogs/organizations, buy  Amazon Gift Cards from a link on the site, then use those to buy your items. There will be no cost to you, and a benefit to them.

2016 Oscar noms

January 14, 2016

2016 Oscar noms

This is very preliminary, almost live-blogging.🙂 I’ll call out the geeky nominees as I catch them, sometimes shortening the names. After the announcements, I’ll formalize it more and add some comments.

First, some comments before the announcements. This could be a breakthrough year with geek-friendly (gf) movies getting nominations…or not.😉

  • Could we have four Best Picture nominees that are gf? That’s possible: The Martian; Mad Max: Fury Road; Star Wars: The Force Awakens; and Inside Out. Actually, Steve Jobs is also possible…so we could see half of the nominees gf. I think people may be disappointed in the lack of prestige noms for Mad Max, but pleased to see Star Wars nominated. Even more outside chances: Ex Machina; Macbeth…and I’m going to say it, Anomalisa
  • Acting noms for gf movies are rare, but there are a few possibilities here. Matt Damon for the Martian; Michael Fassbender for Steve Jobs; Ian McKellan for Mr. Holmes are all possible for Best Actor…I don’t see a gf Best Actress nom as likely. However, I think that’s in part because of  the possibility of putting gf acting into Supporting acting noms: Charlize Theron for Mad Max (and people would complain that it was a lead role); Daisy Ridley for Star Wars (and even louder complaints…J.J. Abrams has called her the main character); Alicia Vikander for Ex Machina (I think this is unlikely…I think she’ll be nominated for Best for The Danish Girl, and not here); Marion Cotillard for Macbeth; Kate Winslet for Steve Jobs (which seems very likely); Harrison Ford for Star Wars (I would consider this Supporting…it would be interesting to see two 1970s leads, Ford and Stallone, competing as Supporting); Seth Rogen for Steve Jobs; there are a few other Star Wars possibilities: Oscar Isaac, Adam Driver, and John Boyega…it Boyega got nominated and Ridley didn’t, it would be a tweetstorm. Many actors with geek cred will be nominated, because nowadays, that’s pretty much everybody😉
  • Screenplay sometimes widens the net…and I think there is an outside possibility of Ex Machina being nominated there. Steve Jobs for sure for adapted…and there may be some snarky suggestions that Star Wars: The Force Awakens should have been an adapted screenplay nom😉 ;  Inside Out may also get a nom
  • There will be some other gf noms…and the song category often gets us some otherwise headscratchers
  • Also worth noting: streaming services may get prestige noms…Netflix for Beasts of No Nation and Amazon for Chi-Raq

Getting close to the noms!

First thoughts after the announcements: I’ll complete the noms list below shortly…

  • Big love for Mad Max! Best Picture and Best Director!
  • People may be disappointed in the relative lack of Star Wars noms, although it did get a few
  • Ex Machina got some noms, including Original Screenplay
  • As I suggested above: acting in gf movies doesn’t tend to get noms
  • Nothing for the streamers. Update: Winter on Fire lists itself as being from Netflix, and was nominated for documentary feature
  • Steve Jobs didn’t get a screenplay nom
  • Snubbed: I’m surprised that these gf movies didn’t get any noms, not even technical or special effects
    • Jurassic World
    • Avengers: Age of Ultron
    • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2 (I really thought this could get a hair/makeup nom)
  • Beyond the geek: outside of Jennifer Lawrence (who gets awards and is our longest running Box Office MVP…one could argue that she may be the best person ever at making movies, in terms of combining respect and popular appeal), not much joy for Joy; the lack of diversity hashtags (for acting noms especially) will be flying! If you want to get a Best Actress nom, look for a movie with a one word title…one word and a number is also okay😉

Best Original Song

  • 50 Shades of Grey | “Earned It” | The Weeknd, Belly, Stephan Moccio
  • Racing Extinction | “Manta Ray” | J. Ralph, Antony Hegarty
  • Youth | “Simple Song #3″| David Lang
  • The Hunting Ground | “Til It Happens to You” | Diane Warren, Lady Gaga
  • “Writing’s On The Wall” | Sam Smith, James Napier | Spectre (gf)

SFX (Special Effects)

  • Andrew Whitehurst, Paul Norris, Mark Williams Ardington, Sara Bennett for Ex Machina gf
  • Andrew Jackson, Tom Wood, Dan Oliver, Andy Williams for Mad Max: Fury Road gf
  • Richard Stammers, Anders Langlands, Chris Lawrence, Steven Warner for The Martian gf
  • Richard McBride, Matt Shumway, Jason Smith, Cameron Waldbauer for The Revenant
  • Roger Guyett, Pat Tubach, Neal Scanlan, Chris Corbould for Star Wars: The Force Awakens gf

Doc Short

  • David Darg, Bryn Mooser for Body Team 12
  • Courtney Marsh, Jerry Franck for War Within the Walls
  • Adam Benzine for Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah
  • Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy for A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
  • Dee Hibbert-Jones, Nomi Talisman for Last Day of Freedom

Doc Feature

  • Asif Kapadia, James Gay-Rees for Amy
  • Matthew Heineman, Tom Yellin for Cartel Land
  • Joshua Oppenheimer, Signe Byrge Sørensen The Look of Silence
  • Liz Garbus, Amy Hobby, Justin Wilkes for What Happened, Miss Simone?
  • Evgeny Afineevsky, Den Tolmor for Winter on Fire

Editing

  • Hank Corwin for The Big Short
  • Margaret Sixel for Mad Max: Fury Road gf
  • Stephen Mirrione for The Revenant
  • Tom McArdle for Spotlight
  • Maryann Brandon for Star Wars: The Force Awakens gf

Sound Mixing

  • Chris Jenkins, Gregg Rudloff, Ben Osmo for Mad Max: Fury Road gf
  • Paul Massey, Mark Taylor, Mac Ruth for The Martian gf
  • Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño, Randy Thom, Chris Duesterdiek for The Revenant
  • Andy Nelson, Gary Rydstrom, Drew Kunin for Bridge of Spies
  • Andy Nelson, Christopher Scarabosio, Stuart Wilson for Star Wars: The  Force Awakens gf

Sound Editing

  • Alan Robert Murray for Sicario
  • Mark A. Mangini, David White for Mad Max: Fury Road gf
  • Martín Hernández, Lon Bender for The Revenant
  • Matthew Wood, David Acord for Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  • Oliver Tarney for The Martian gf

Production Design

  • Adam Stockhausen, Rena DeAngelo, Bernhard Henrich for Bridge of Spies
  • Eve Stewart (?) for The Danish Girl
  • Colin Gibson, Katie Sharrock, Lisa Thompson for Mad Max: Fury Road gf
  • Arthur Max, Celia Bobak, Zoltán Horváth for The Martian gf
  • Jack Fisk, Hamish Purdy for The Revenant

Live Action Short

  • Basil Khalil, Eric Dupont for Ave Maria
  • Henry Hughes for Day One
  • Patrick Vollrath for Everything Will Be OK (Alles Wird Gut)
  • Jamie Donoughue for Shok
  • Benjamin Cleary, Serena Armitage for Stutterer

Animated Short

  • Gabriel Osorio Vargas, Pato Escala Pierart for Bear Story (Historia de un Oso) gf 
  • Konstantin Bronzit for We Can’t Live without Cosmos (Mi ne Mozhem zhit bez Kosmosa) gf
  • Richard Williams, Imogen Sutton for Prologue gf
  • Sanjay Patel, Nicole Paradis Grindle for Sanjay’s Super Team gf
  • Don Hertzfeldt for World of Tomorrow gf

Best Animated Feature

  • Anomalisa gf
  • Boy and the World (O Menino e o Mundo) gf
  • Inside Out gf
  • Shaun the Sheep gf
  • When Marnie Was There (Omoide no Mânî) gf

 Supporting ActorYea

  • Christian Bale for The Big Short
  • Tom Hardy for The Revenant
  • Mark Ruffalo for Spotlight
  • Mark Rylance for Bridge of Spies
  • Sylvester Stallone for Creed

Supporting Actress

  • Jennifer Jason Leigh for The Hateful Eight
  • Rachel McAdams for Spotlight
  • Rooney Mara for Carol
  • Alicia Vikander for The Danish Girl
  • Kate Winslet for Steve Jobs gf

Makeup and Hairstyling

  • Lesley Vanderwalt, Elka Wardega, Damian Martin for Mad Max: Fury Road gf
  • Love Larson, Eva Von Bahr for The 100 Year Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared (Hundraåringen som klev ut genom fönstret och försvann)
  • Sian Grigg, Duncan Jarman, Robert A. Pandini for The Revenant

Costume

  • Sandy Powell for Carol
  • Sandy Powell for Cinderella gf
  • Paco Delgado The Danish Girl
  • Jenny Deavan for Mad Max: Fury Road gf
  • Jacqueline West for The Revenant

Cinematography

  • Edward Lachman for Carol
  • Robert Richardson for The Hateful Eight
  • John Seale for Mad Max: Fury Road gf
  • Emmanuel Lubezki for The Revenant
  • Roger Deakins for Sicario

Adapted Screenplay

  • Charles Randoph, Adam McKay for The Big Short
  • Nick Hornby for Brooklyn
  • Phyllis Nagy for Carol
  • Drew Goddard for The Martian gf
  • Emma Donoghue for Room

Original Screenplay

  • Matt Charman, Ethan Coen, Joel Coen for Bridge of Spies
  • Alex Garland for Ex Machina gf
  • Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, Josh Cooley, Ronnie Del Carmen for Inside Out gf
  • Josh Singer, Tom McCarthy for Spotlight
  • Andrea Berloff, Jonathan Herman, S. Leigh Savidge, Alan Wenkus for Straight Outta Compton

Original Score

  • Thomas Newman for Bridge of Spies
  • Carter Burwell for Carol
  • Ennio Morricone for The Hateful Eight
  • Sicario
  • John Williams for Star Wars: The Force Awakens gf

Foreign Language

  • Colombia: Embrace of the Serpent
  • France: Mustang
  • Hungary: Son of Saul
  • Jordan: Theeb
  • Denmark: A War (Krigen)

Directing

  • Adam McKay for The Big Short
  • George Miller for Mad Max: Fury Road gf
  • Alejandro González Iñárritu for The Revenant
  • Lenny Abrahamson for Room
  • Tom McCarthy for Spotlight

Lead Actress

  • Kate Blanchett for Carol
  • Brie Larson for Room
  • Jennifer Lawrence for Joy
  • Charlotte Rampling for 45 Years
  • Saoirse Ronan for Brooklyn

Lead Actor

  • Bryan Cranston for Trumbo
  • Matt Damon for The Martian gf
  • Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant
  • Michael Fassbender for Steve Jobs gf
  • Eddie Redmayne for The Danish Girl

Best Picture

  • Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner for The Big Short
  • Steven Spielberg, Marc Platt, Kristie Macosko Krieger for Bridge of Spies
  • Finola Dwyer, Amanda Posey for Brooklyn
  • Doug Mitchell, George Miller for Mad Max: Fury Road gf
  • Simon Kinberg, Ridley Scott, Michael Schaefer, Mark Huffam for The Martian gf
  • Arnon Milchan, Steve Golin, Alejandro González Iñárritu, Mary Parent, Keith Redmon for Revenant
  • Ed Guiney for Room
  • Michael Sugar, Steve Golin, Nicole Rocklin, Blye Pagon Faust for Spotlight

Where can you legally stream any of these Oscar nominees without paying additional money (subscriptions required)?

Amazon Prime:

  • Ex Machina
  • The 100 Year Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared

Hulu:

  • The Youth

Netflix:

  • Winter on Fire

2016 Oscar nominations video:

Complete list of nominees from the Academy website:

http://oscar.go.com/nominees

Join thousands of readers and try the free The Measured Circle magazine at Flipboard

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the  The Measured Circle blog. To support this or other blogs/organizations, buy  Amazon Gift Cards from a link on the site, then use those to buy your items. There will be no cost to you, and a benefit to them.

2015 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) predictions

February 22, 2015

2015 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) predictions

Thank you once again to everyone who made predictions this year!

It will be very interesting to see how we do…there are some very tight races this year!

Here are our predictions:

Best Picture:

1. Boyhood (Richard Linklater, Cathleen Sutherland) 76% chance
2. Birdman (Alejandro González Iñárritu, John Lesher, James W. Skotchdopole) 75% chance Winner
3. Selma (Christian Colson, Oprah Winfrey, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner) 60% chance
4. The Grand Budapest Hotel (Wes Anderson, Scott Rudin, Steven M. Rales, Jeremy Dawson) 51% chance
5. American Sniper (Clint Eastwood, Robert Lorenz, Andrew Lazar, Bradley Cooper, Peter Morgan) 49% chance
6. The Imitation Game (Nora Grossman, Ido Ostrowsky, Teddy Schwarzman) 43% chance (tie)
6. The Theory of Everything (Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Lisa Bruce, Anthony McCarten) 43% chance (tie)
8. Whiplash (Jason Blum, Helen Estabrook, David Lancaster) 41% chance

Lead Actor:

1. Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything) 91% chance Winner correct
2. Michael Keaton (Birdman) 76% chance
3. Bradley Cooper (American Sniper) 49% chance
4. Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game) 47% chance
5. Steve Carell (Foxcatcher) 40% chance
Lead Actress:
1. Julianne Moore (Still Alice) 92% chance Winner correct
2. Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl) 58% chance
3, Reese Witherspoon (Wild) 52% chance
4. Marion Cotillard (Two Days, One Night) 50% chance
5. Felicity Jones (The Theory of Everything) 48% chance
Supporting Actor:
1. J.K. Simmons (Whiplash) 86% chance Winner (correct)
2. Edward Norton (Birdman) 62% chance
3. Ethan Hawke (Boyhood) 58% chance
4. Robert Duvall (The Judge) 52% chance
5. Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher) 42% chance
Supporting Actress:
1. Patricia Arquette (Boyhood) 90% chance Winner correct
2. Emma Stone (Birdman) 66% chance
3. Laura Dern (Wild) 52% chance (tie)
3. Meryl Streep (Into the Woods) 52% chance (tie)
5. Keira Knightley (The Imitation Game) 40% chance
Director:
1. Richard Linklater (Boyhood) 86% chance
2. Alejandro González Iñárritu (Birdman) 80% chance Winner
3. Wes Anderson (The Grand Budapest Hotel) 58% chance
4. Morten Tyldum (The Imitation Game) 46% chance
5. Bennett Miller (Foxcatcher) 30% chance
Adapted Screenplay:
1. The Imitation Game (Graham Moore) 72% chance (tie)  Winner (half correct)
1. The Theory of Everything (Anthony McCarten) 72% chance (tie)
3. Whiplash (Damien Chazelle) 62% chance
4. American Sniper (Jason Hall) 52% chance
5. Inherent Vice (Paul Thomas Anderson) 42% chance
Original Screenplay:
1. The Grand Budapest Hotel (Wes Anderson, Hugo Guinness) 78% chance
2. Boyhood (Richard Linklater) 76% chance
3. Birdman (Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo) 74% chance Winner
4. Foxcatcher (E. Max Frye, Dan Futterman) 44% chance
5. Nightcrawler (Dan Gilroy) 28% chance
Cinematography:
1.Birdman (Emmanuel Lubezki) 76% chance (tie) Winner (half correct)
1.The Grand Budapest Hotel (Robert D. Yeoman) 76% chance (tie)
3. Unbroken (Roger Deakins) 52% chance
4. Mr. Turner (Dick Pope) 50% chance
5. Ida (Lukasz Zal, Ryszard Lenczewski) 46% chance
Costume Design:
1. The Grand Budapest Hotel (Milena Canonero) 80% chance Winner correct
2. Into the Woods (Colleen Atwood) 78% chance
3. Mr. Turner (2014): Jacqueline Durran) 58% chance
4. Maleficent (Anna B. Sheppard, Jane Clive) 48% chance
5. Inherent Vice (Mark Bridges) 36% chance
Film Editing:
1. Boyhood (Sandra Adair) 84% chance
2. The Grand Budapest Hotel (Barney Pilling) 62% chance (tie)
3. American Sniper (Joel Cox, Gary Roach) 62% chance (tie)
4. Whiplash (Tom Cross) 54% chance Winner
5. The Imitation Game (William Goldenberg) 28% chance
Makeup & Hairstyling:
1. The Grand Budapest Hotel (Frances Hannon, Mark Coulier) 87% chance Winner correct
2. Foxcatcher (Bill Corso, Dennis Liddiard) 57% chance (tie)
2. Guardians of the Galaxy (Elizabeth Yianni-Georgiou, David White) 57% chance (tie)
Production Design:
1.The Grand Budapest Hotel (Adam Stockhausen, Anna Pinnock) 86% chance Winner correct
2. Into the Woods (Dennis Gassner, Anna Pinnock) 68% chance
3. The Imitation Game (Maria Djurkovic, Tatiana Macdonald) 60% chance
4. Mr. Turner (Suzie Davies, Charlotte Watts) 48% chance
5. Interstellar (Nathan Crowley, Gary Fettis) 28% chance
Sound Editing:
1. American Sniper (Alan Robert Murray, Bub Asman) 90% chance Winner correct
2. Birdman (Aaron Glascock, Martín Hernández) 58% chance (tie)
2. Interstellar (Richard King) 58% chance (tie)
4. Unbroken (Becky Sullivan, Andrew DeCristofaro) 56% chance
5. The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies (Brent Burge, Jason Canovas) 38% chance
Sound Mixing:
1. American Sniper (John T. Reitz, Gregg Rudloff, Walt Martin) 78% chance
2. Whiplash (Craig Mann, Ben Wilkins, Thomas Curley) 66% chance Winner
3. Birdman (on Taylor, Frank A. Montaño, Thomas Varga) 56% chance
4. Unbroken (Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño, David Lee) 52% chance
5. Interstellar (Gary Rizzo, Gregg Landaker, Mark Weingarten) 48% chance
Visual Effects:
1. Interstellar (Paul J. Franklin, Andrew Lockley, Ian Hunter, Scott R. Fisher) 84% chance Winner correct
2. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes (Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Daniel Barrett, Erik Winquist) 74% chance
3. Guardians of the Galaxy (Stephane Ceretti, Nicolas Aithadi, Jonathan Fawkner, Paul Corbould) 68% chance
4. X-Men: Days of Future Past (Richard Stammers, Lou Pecora, Tim Crosbie, Cameron Waldbauer) 40% chance
5. Captain America: The Winter Soldier (Dan Deleeuw, Russell Earl, Bryan Grill, Daniel Sudick) 34% chance
Animated Feature:
1. How to Train Your Dragon 2 73% chance
2. Big Hero Six 71% chance Winner
3. The Boxtrolls 56% chance (tie)
3. The Tale of the Princess Kaguya 56% chance (tie)
5. Song of the Sea 44% chance
Documentary Feature:
1. Virunga (Orlando von Einsiedel, Joanna Natasegara) 67% chance
2. Citizenfour: Laura Poitras, Mathilde Bonnefoy, Dirk Wilutzky) 62% chance (tie) Winner
2. Last Days in Vietnam (Rory Kennedy, Keven McAlester) 62% chance (tie)
4. Finding Vivian Maier (John Maloof, Charlie Siskel)  58% chance
5. The Salt of the Earth (Wim Wenders, Juliano Ribeiro Salgado, David Rosier) 51% chance
Documentary Short:
1. White Earth (Christian Jensen) 78% chance
2. Joanna (Aneta Kopacz) 62% chance
3. Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1 (Ellen Goosenberg Kent, Dana Perry) 56% chance (tie) Winner
3. The Reaper (Gabriel Serra) 56% chance (tie)
5. Our Curse (Tomasz Sliwinski, Maciej Slesicki) 49% chance
Foreign Language Film:
1. Ida (Pawel Pawlikowski) 80% chance Winner correct
2. Timbuktu (Abderrahmane Sissako) 58% chance
3. Leviathan (Andrey Zvyagintsev) 56% chance (tie)
3. Wild Tales (Damián Szifrón) 56% chance (tie)
5. Tangerines (Zaza Urushadze) 51% chance
Music – Score:
1. The Theory of Everything (Jóhann Jóhannsson) 84% chance
2. The Grand Budapest Hotel (Alexandre Desplat) 76% chance Winner
3. The Imitation Game (Alexandre Desplat) 58% chance
4. Mr. Turner (Gary Yershon) 42% chance
5. Interstellar (Hans Zimmer) 40% chance
Music – Song:
1. Selma (Common, John Legend) (Glory) 90% chance Winner correct
2. Glen Campbell: I’ll Be Me (Glen Campbell, Julian Raymond) (I’m Not Gonna Miss You)  68% chance
3. The Lego Movie (Shawn Patterson) (Everything is Awesome) 60% chance
4. Begin Again (Gregg Alexander, Danielle Brisebois) (Lost Stars) 43% chance
5. Beyond the Lights (Diane Warren) (Grateful) 40% chance
Short – Animated:
1. Feast (Patrick Osborne, Kristina Reed) 89% chance Winner correct
2. The Dam Keeper (Robert Kondo, Daisuke ‘Dice’ Tsutsumi) 64% chance
3. A Single Life (Joris Oprins) 53% chance
4. The Bigger Picture (Daisy Jacobs, Chris Hees) 47% chance (tie)
4. Me and My Moulton (Torill Kove) 47% chance (tie)
Short – Live Action:
1. The Phone Call (Mat Kirkby, James Lucas) 76% chance Winner correct
2. Parvaneh (Talkhon Hamzavi, Stefan Eichenberger) 67% chance
3. Boogaloo and Graham (Michael Lennox, Ronan Blaney) 64% chance
4. Butter Lamp (Wei Hu, Julien Féret) 51% chance
5. Aya (Oded Binnun, Mihal Brezis) 42% chance
Our best bets (90% or higher):
  1. Lead Actress: Julianne Moore 92%
  2. Lead Actor: Eddie Remayne: 91%
  3. Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette: 90%
  4. Music – Song: Glory from Selma: 90%
  5. Sound Editing: American Sniper 90%

We have some very close races this year!

  1. Adapted Screenplay tied for The Imitation Game and the Theory of Everything
  2. Cinematography tied for Birdman and The Grand Budapest Hotel
  3. Best Picture: we have Boyhood edging out Birdman by 1%!

See you in the movies!

Update: here is a summary of the results.

We weren’t quite as accurate as a team in 2015 as we were in 2014.

Overall, we were at 74.55% this year, versus 77.38% last year.

We were better on the Incredibly Difficult Maven section this year (74.55%) versus last year 68.07%.

On the Big Six (acting, Picture, Director) we got 88.33% this year, beating last years 79.41%.

Our individual winners were:

  • Big Six was Jimmy Orsag…with a perfect 100%!
  • The Incredibly Difficult Maven section was Neil Lapinsky, with a remarkable 90.91%!
  • Neil also did well on the Big Six, which combined meant winning overall with 92.56%!

Congratulations to Jimmy and Neil!

They have won that most valuable of human possessions: braggin’ rights!🙂

As a group, we called all of the acting categories…but missed on both Director and Picture. We thought both would go to Boyhood, although Birdman was our second choice.

We were most shocked by the Documentary Short, only getting a 55.56%.

I would say that generally, we slightly underestimated Birdman (I didn’t think the Academy would go that geeky, for example), and Whiplash surprised us with technical wins.

Hope everybody reading this will play next year!

Join thousands of readers and try the free The Measured Circle magazine at Flipboard 

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the  The Measured Circle blog. To support this or other blogs/organizations, buy  Amazon Gift Cards from a link on the site, then use those to buy your items. There will be no cost to you, and a benefit to them.

2015 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness)

January 25, 2015

2015 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness)

For more than twenty years, I’ve been doing an Oscar prediction contest.

Important note: there is no fee to play the  game, and we only play for that most valuable of human possessions…bragging rights. 

We do ours a bit differently than most. You rank every nominee, and then you get the number of points you assigned to the winner.

For example, there are five nominees for Actor in a Leading Role. You would assign the one you thought the Academy was most likely to pick (not necessarily the one you thought most deserved it) with a 5. Your second most likely would be a 4, and so on.

For the first time this year, we are using SurveyMonkey, rather than Excel.

That means you can play anonymously, if you prefer…we also think many people may find it easier.

There are three surveys (we are currently limited to no more than ten questions per survey):

Big Six and Screenwriting:

https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/QHWZNNZ

Design and Appearance:

https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/JRVRTCB

Whole Movies and Music

https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/JM2JTCS

If you would like to be recognized as a winner of the Big Six (the acting awards, Best Picture, and Best Director), the Incredibly Difficult Maven Section (everything else), and/or Overall, you’ll have the opportunity at the site to enter your name (that will not be public). If you’d like to receive future communications about BOPMadness, you can also enter your e-mail address there (again, that will not be public).

If you have any questions, you can comment on this post. If you’d like your comment to remain private, please let me know in the comment.

We will post the group predictions here before the Oscar ceremony on Sunday, February 22nd.

The more people who play, the more accurate we tend to be…feel free to share this with anyone you think would like to participate.

See you in the movies!

Join thousands of readers and try the free The Measured Circle magazine at Flipboard

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the  The Measured Circle blog. To support this or other blogs/organizations, buy  Amazon Gift Cards from a link on the site, then use those to buy your items. There will be no cost to you, and a benefit to them.

2015 Oscar noms

January 15, 2015

2015 Oscar noms

This is very preliminary, almost live-blogging.🙂 I’ll call out the geeky nominees as I catch them, sometimes shortening the names. After the announcements, I’ll formalize it more and add some comments.

Announcements are over…some early thoughts:

  • I’m surprised by the number of nominations for Interstellar…more than I expected
  • Birdman gets three acting noms
  • Best songs can still come from animated movies…and very popular (and profitable) ones at that
  • Maleficent is Oscar nominated
  • Guardians of the Galaxy was nominated for Hair and Makeup…and Into the Woods wasn’t
  • The Imitation Game got a lot of love
  • Eddie Redmayne was nominated…and seems to me to be the one to beat. It’s almost a perfect Oscar storm…and wouldn’t it be great to see Stephen Hawking at the ceremony?
  • Blockbuster geek movies which may be critical disfaves often get rewarded in technical categories…I didn’t see so much of that this time. For example, no noms for Transformers (we could have seen sound or Special Effects, perhaps)
  • You could notice how the lack of eligibility affects some categories: The Hanging Tree from The Hunger Games wasn’t eligible, Birdman for Score…
  • The Lego Movie was not nominated for Best Animated Feature
  • This is a notably non-diverse group of major nominees: I think we’ll hear people commenting on that

Best Original Song

  • Everything is Awesome from the Lego Movie

SFX (Special Effects)

  • Captain America: The Winter Soldier
  • Dawn of the Planet of the Apes
  • Guardians of the Galaxy
  • Interstellar
  • X-Men: Days of Future Past

Doc Short

Doc Feature

  • Citizen Four

Editing

  • The Imitation Game

Sound Editing

  • Birdman
  • The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
  • Interstellar

Sound Mixing

  • Birdman
  • Interstellar

Production Design

  • The Imitation Game
  • Interstellar
  • Into the Woods

Live Action Short

Animated Short

Best Animated Feature

  • Big Hero Six
  • Boxtrolls
  • How to Train Your Dragon 2
  • Song of the Sea
  • Tale of the Princess Kaguya

 Supporting Actor

  • Edward Norton in Birdman

Supporting Actress

  • Keira Knightly in The Imitation Game
  • Emma Stone in Birdman
  • Meryl Srteep in Into the Woods

Makeup and Hairstyling

  • Guardians of the Galaxy

Costume

  • Into the Woods
  • Maleficent

Cinematography

  • Birdman

Adapted Screenplay

  • The Imitation Game
  • The Theory of Everything

Original Screenplay

  • Birdman

Original Score

  • The Imitation Game
  • Interstellar
  • The Theory of Everything

Foreign Language

Directing

  • Birdman
  • The Imitation Game

Lead Actress

  • Felicity Jones The Theory of Everything

Lead Actor

  • Benedict Cumberbatch in The Imitation Game
  • Michael Keaton in Birdman
  • Eddie Redmayne in The Theory of Everything

Best Picture

  • Birdman
  • The Imitation Game
  • The Theory of Everything

2015 Oscar nominations video:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U1G_C6ygtRA

Complete list of nominees from the Academy website:

http://oscar.go.com/nominees

Join thousands of readers and try the free The Measured Circle magazine at Flipboard

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the  The Measured Circle blog. To support this or other blogs/organizations, buy  Amazon Gift Cards from a link on the site, then use those to buy your items. There will be no cost to you, and a benefit to them.

2014 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) results

March 3, 2014

2014 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) results

This post will be updated with our individual winners, but we wanted to get you our group results right away (and include the Oscar winners).

  • Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave (predicted)
  • Lead Actor: Matthew McConaughey (half predicted…we had a tie with Chiwetel Ejiofor)
  • Lead Actress: Cate Blanchett (predicted)
  • Supporting Actor: Jared Leto (predicted)
  • Supporting Actress: Lupito Nyong’o (predicted)
  • Directing: Alfonso Cuaron (miss…we went with Steve McQueen)
  • Original Screenplay: Her (predicted)
  • Adapted Screenplay: 12 Years a Slave (miss: we predicted Philomena)
  • Animated Feature: Frozen (predicted)
  • Foreign Language Film: The Great Beauty (predicted)
  • Cinematography: Gravity (predicted)
  • Film Editing: Gravity (predicted)
  • Production Design: The Great Gatsby (predicted)
  • Costume Design: The Great Gatsby (miss…we did the American Hustle)
  • Makeup and Hairstyling: Dallas Buyers Club (predicted)
  • Music Score: Gravity (miss: we predicted Philomena)
  • Song: Let It Go from Gravity (predicted)
  • Sound Mixing: Gravity (predicted)
  • Sound Editing: Gravity (predicted)
  • Visual Effects: Gravity (predicted)
  • Documentary Feature: Twenty Feet from Stardom (miss…we said The Act of Killing)
  • Documentary Short: The Lady in Number 6 (predicted)
  • Animated Short: Mr. Hublot (miss…we had a Mickey Mouse answer, Get a Horse!)
  • Live Action Short: Helium (half-predicted: we had a tie with The Voorman Problem)

Overall, we did well! We got four and a half (the half is due to a tie) of the Big Six, and twelve and a half out of eighteen of the Incredibly Difficult Maven Section. This seemed like a difficult year, with a lot of close calls.

More analysis to come, including our percentage scores, and our individual winners.

Thanks again to everyone who played! See you in the movies!

Update: here is the individual analysis!

Team:

  • Big Six: 79.41%
  • Incredibly Difficult Maven Section: 68.07%
  • Overall: 77.38

Congratulations to Mike Weston, who won in all three categories!

  • Big Six: 100%
  • Incredibly Difficult Maven Section: 87.63%
  • Overall: 98.35%

Mike also won the Maven and Overall last year…he’s on a roll.😉

Marianne Adoor and Neil Lapinsky (two new players) tied Mike in the Big Six: all three of these great  predictors picked all of the Big Six categories! Congratulations to you all!

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle.

2014 BOPmadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) predictions

March 2, 2014

2014 BOPmadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) predictions

Thank you to everyone who made predictions!

This is being published prior to the Oscar ceremony.

Based on our respondents, this seems like it was a particularly difficult year: I don’t recall scores being this close (including two ties).

Let’s start out with the probability we collectively assigned each nominee:

Category Nominee Percent Projected Winner
Makeup & Hair Styling Dallas Buyers Club 87.50% Projected Winner
Cinematography Gravity 85.00% Projected Winner
Best Picture 12 Years a Slave 84.72% Projected Winner
Music: Song Let It Go from Frozen 84.38% Projected Winner
Lead Actress Cate Blanchett 82.50% Projected Winner
Supporting Actress Lupito Nyong’o 82.50% Projected Winner
Sound Mixing Gravity 82.50% Projected Winner
Animated Feature Frozen 82.50% Projected Winner
Best Picture American Hustle 81.94%
Lead Actor Chiwetel Ejiofor 80.00% Projected Winner
Lead Actor Matthew McConaughey 80.00% Projected Winner
Costume Design American Hustle 80.00% Projected Winner
Visual Effects Gravity 80.00% Projected Winner
Supporting Actor Jared Leto 77.50% Projected Winner
Director 12 Years a Slave 77.50% Projected Winner
Sound Editing Gravity 77.50% Projected Winner
Documentary Short The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life 77.50% Projected Winner
Cinematography Nebraska 75.00%
Film Editing Gravity 75.00% Projected Winner
Documentary Feature The Act of Killing 75.00% Projected Winner
Animated Short Get a Horse! 75.00% Projected Winner
Costume Design The Great Gatsby 72.50%
Costume Design 12 Years a Slave 72.50%
Production Design The Great Gatsby 72.50% Projected Winner
Sound Mixing Captain Phillips 72.50%
Documentary Feature 20 Feet from Stardom 72.50%
Foreign Language Film The Great Beauty 72.50% Projected Winner
Music Score Philomena 72.50% Projected Winner
Live Action Short Helium 72.50% Projected Winner
Live Action Short The Voorman Problem 72.50% Projected Winner
Supporting Actor Barkhad Abdi 70.00%
Director American Hustle 70.00%
Visual Effects The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug 67.50%
Makeup & Hair Styling The Lone Ranger 66.67%
Supporting Actress Jennifer Lawrence 65.00%
Production Design American Hustle 65.00%
Production Design Gravity 65.00%
Sound Editing Captain Phillips 65.00%
Documentary Feature The Square 65.00%
Music Score Gravity 65.00%
Best Picture Dallas Buyers Club 62.50%
Director Gravity 62.50%
Cinematography Prisoners 62.50%
Production Design 12 Years a Slave 62.50%
Animated Feature Despicable Me 2 62.50%
Animated Feature The Wind Rises 62.50%
Documentary Short Facing Fear 62.50%
Foreign Language Film The Broken Circle Breakdown 62.50%
Music Score Saving Mr. Banks 62.50%
Music: Song Ordinary Love from Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom 62.50%
Animated Short Mr. Hublot 62.50%
Best Picture Gravity 61.11%
Lead Actress Amy Adams 60.00%
Supporting Actor Bradley Cooper 60.00%
Documentary Short Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall 60.00%
Foreign Language Film Omar 60.00%
Music Score Her 60.00%
Supporting Actor Michael Fassbender 57.50%
Supporting Actress Sally Hawkins 57.50%
Sound Editing The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug 57.50%
Sound Mixing Inside Llewyn Davis 57.50%
Visual Effects Iron Man 3 57.50%
Animated Short Room on the Broom 57.50%
Live Action Short Avant Que De Tout Perdre 57.50%
Music: Song The Moon Song from Her 56.25%
Supporting Actress Julia Roberts 55.00%
Film Editing American Hustle 55.00%
Film Editing 12 Years a Slave 55.00%
Documentary Short CaveDigger 55.00%
Animated Short Possessions 55.00%
Lead Actress Judi Dench 52.50%
Lead Actress Sandra Bullock 52.50%
Lead Actress Meryl Streep 52.50%
Sound Editing All Is Lost 52.50%
Animated Feature Ernest & Celstine 52.50%
Foreign Language Film The Hunt 52.50%
Foreign Language Film The Missing Picture 52.50%
Lead Actor Bruce Dern 50.00%
Director The Wolf of Wall Street 50.00%
Visual Effects Star Trek Into Darkness 50.00%
Animated Short Feral 50.00%
Live Action Short Aquel No Era Yo 50.00%
Best Picture The Wolf of Wall Street 48.61%
Lead Actor Leonardo DiCaprio 47.50%
Sound Editing Lone Survivor 47.50%
Documentary Feature Dirty Wars 47.50%
Live Action Short Pitaako Mun Kakki Hoitaa 47.50%
Music: Song Happy from Despicable Me 2 46.88%
Makeup & Hair Styling Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa 45.83%
Sound Mixing Lone Survivor 45.00%
Visual Effects The Lone Ranger 45.00%
Documentary Short Karama Has No Walls 45.00%
Best Picture Captain Phillips 44.44%
Best Picture Nebraska 43.06%
Lead Actor Christian Bale 42.50%
Director Nebraska 42.50%
Cinematography Inside Llewyn Davis 42.50%
Sound Mixing The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug 42.50%
Supporting Actress June Squibb 40.00%
Film Editing Captain Phillips 40.00%
Animated Feature The Croods 40.00%
Documentary Feature Cutie and the Boxer 40.00%
Music Score The Book Thief 40.00%
Best Picture Her 37.50%
Costume Design The Grandmaster 37.50%
Costume Design The Invisible Woman 37.50%
Film Editing Dallas Buyers Club 37.50%
Supporting Actor Jonah Hill 35.00%
Cinematography The Grandmaster 35.00%
Production Design Her 35.00%
Best Picture Philomena 34.72%

As you can see, we are most sure about Dallas Buyers Club getting Makeup and Hair Styling. We would be most shocked if Philomena won Best Picture. We split on Lead Actor and Live Action Short.

Here’s how it looks just for projected winners:

Category
Nominee
Percent
Projected Winner
Makeup & Hair Styling Dallas Buyers Club 87.50% Projected Winner
Cinematography Gravity 85.00% Projected Winner
Best Picture 12 Years a Slave 84.72% Projected Winner
Music: Song Let It Go from Frozen 84.38% Projected Winner
Lead Actress Cate Blanchett 82.50% Projected Winner
Supporting Actress Lupito Nyong’o 82.50% Projected Winner
Sound Mixing Gravity 82.50% Projected Winner
Animated Feature Frozen 82.50% Projected Winner
Lead Actor Chiwetel Ejiofor 80.00% Projected Winner
Lead Actor Matthew McConaughey 80.00% Projected Winner
Costume Design American Hustle 80.00% Projected Winner
Visual Effects Gravity 80.00% Projected Winner
Supporting Actor Jared Leto 77.50% Projected Winner
Director 12 Years a Slave 77.50% Projected Winner
Sound Editing Gravity 77.50% Projected Winner
Documentary Short The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life 77.50% Projected Winner
Film Editing Gravity 75.00% Projected Winner
Documentary Feature The Act of Killing 75.00% Projected Winner
Animated Short Get a Horse! 75.00% Projected Winner
Production Design The Great Gatsby 72.50% Projected Winner
Foreign Language Film The Great Beauty 72.50% Projected Winner
Music Score Philomena 72.50% Projected Winner
Live Action Short Helium 72.50% Projected Winner
Live Action Short The Voorman Problem 72.50% Projected Winner

We apologize that formatting precludes putting all of the nominees’ names, or identifying the movies in the acting categories. That information did appear in the surveys, which were available here:

2014 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness)

See you in the movies!

Update: we inadvertently left off our predictions for screenplay:

Adapted Screenplay Before Midnight 45.00% 18 8 5
Adapted Screenplay Captain Phillips 55.00% 22 8 5
Adapted Screenplay Philomena 97.50% Projected Winner 39 8 5
Adapted Screenplay 12 Years a Slave 90.00% 36 8 5
Adapted Screenplay The Wolf of Wall Street 72.50% 29 8 5
Original Screenplay American Hustle 37.50% 15 8 5
Original Screenplay Blue Jasmine 72.50% 29 8 5
Original Screenplay Dallas Buyers Club 62.50% 25 8 5
Original Screenplay Her 75.00% Projected Winner 30 8 5
Original Screenplay Nebraska 52.50% 21 8 5

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle.

2014 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness)

February 21, 2014

2014 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness)

For more than twenty years, I’ve been doing an Oscar prediction contest.

Important note: there is no fee to play the  game, and we only play for that most valuable of human possessions…bragging rights. 

We do ours a bit differently than most. You rank every nominee, and then you get the number of points you assigned to the winner.

For example, there are five nominees for Actor in a Leading Role. You would assign the one you thought the Academy was most likely to pick (not necessarily the one you thought most deserved it) with a 5. Your second most likely would be a 4, and so on.

For the first time this year, we are using SurveyMonkey, rather than Excel.

That means you can play anonymously, if you prefer…we also think many people may find it easier.

There are three surveys (we are currently limited to no more than ten questions per survey):

Big Six and Screenwriting:

https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/RL8CBQX

Design and Appearance:

https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/X97YSM9

Whole Movies and Music

https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/X9CPKTZ

If you would like to be recognized as a winner of the Big Six (the acting awards, Best Picture, and Best Director), the Incredibly Difficult Maven Section (everything else), and/or Overall, you’ll have the opportunity at the site to enter your name (that will not be public). If you’d like to receive future communications about BOPMadness, you can also enter your e-mail address there (again, that will not be public).

If you have any questions, you can comment this post. If you’d like your comment to remain private, please let me know in the comment.

We will post the group predictions here before the Oscar ceremony on Sunday, March 2nd.

The more people who play, the more accurate we tend to be…feel free to share this with anyone you think would like to participate.

See you in the movies!

Nominate a child to be given a free Kindle at Give a Kid a Kindle.

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle.

2013 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) results

February 25, 2013

2013 BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) results

How did we do predicting this year’s Oscars?

As a group, we got 85%* of the possible score on the Big Six categories (the acting awards, Best Picture, Best Director), and called four out of six of them.

While we didn’t call Ang Lee (we went for Lincoln), it wasn’t a shock…he was our second choice (as a group), with a 71% probability to Spielberg’s 80%.

Christoph Waltz did surprise us (and, I think, a lot of people)…we had Tommy Lee Jones as a strong favorite (86%), and both Alan Arkin and Robert De Niro ahead of Waltz at 63% versus 49% for Waltz (we didn’t think this was Philip Seymour Hoffman’s year).

Scott Calvin is the winner on the Big Six…with 100%! Congratulations to Scott, who got those all correct.

When we get to the rest of the categories (which we call The Incredibly Difficult Maven section), we had a group score 72%. We called twelve out of the 18 categories, missing on the documentary categories, live action short, Production Design, and the screenwriting categories.

That’s not a great year for us, and there may have been some factors.

For one thing, I think it was a great movie year, perhaps the best since 1939. More high quality choices make it harder to pick.

Second, the mismatch in the number of Best Picture nominees and other category nominees can confuse things. This isn’t the first year that’s happened, but I think when a movie is up for Best Picture, you tend to weight it higher in other categories as well. You can see that impact in the screenwriting categories. This year, every adapted screenplay nominee was also up for Best Picture (as were three of the original screenplay nominees).  Last year, only three of the Adapted Screenplay nominees were also Best Picture nominees…I think that muddies the water.

Congratulations to Mike Weston, who had an 89% on the Maven section, and was our winner there! Mike also got 91% on the Big Six, and was the overall winner, with 90%!

You can play next year! Watch this space…

* Numbers are tentative: we’ll double-check this later

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog.


Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 405 other followers

%d bloggers like this: