Archive for the ‘Movies’ Category

Fans rage against proposed Wizard of Oz remake

August 25, 2019

Fans rage against proposed Wizard of Oz remake

A major studio wants to take Oz fans on another trip down the yellow brick road, but they’d just as soon stay in Kansas.

“I don’t know why Hollywood can’t come up with more original ideas! All they do is the same old thing, and they are never as good as the original,” said one irate member of the large and vocal Oz fan community.

The casting seems to be a particular concern.

“There was one obvious choice for Dorothy and they couldn’t get her. What, are they on the third choice? Pinkie something? And all the comedians! The Wizard, Glinda…and Mr. Gnong-gnong-gnong? Ridiculous!”

The production has been troubled. Injuries have been rampant, including a major actor’s hospitalization (and he was eventually replaced in the part). 14 writers and 5 directors have worked on the movie. It has reportedly run significantly over budget. Maybe the Wicked Witch has placed a curse on it…or perhaps its the collective thoughts of the vast Oz fandom.

We managed to find a producer of the movie who would speak on condition of anonymity.

“We just feel like new technology is giving us a new approach to the story. We’re really experimenting here, and I think it’s going to look nothing like the old version. If the fans will give it a chance, I think they’ll like it.”


Well, in case you haven’t guessed by now, I’ve been describing the version you probably think of as¬†the Wizard of Oz: the 1939 musical version with Judy Garland. Various versions of Oz had appeared on screen before. This, though, was the first sound version, and it was going to take advantage of new color processes.

That color brought major changes: the Wicked Witch wasn’t green in the books, and Dorothy has silver slippers, not ruby ones.

The name “Pinkie” I used? Judy Garland had played “Pinkie” Wingate in Listen, Darling the previous year. There were a lot of comedians: they tried to get W.C. Fields for the Wizard, and Billie Burke was known for comedy before playing Glinda.

One of the fans’ biggest concerns was Bert Lahr, who was a well-known comedian…that gnong-gnong-gnong was basically his catchphrase. Oz fandom really was big, and the Cowardly Lion was supposed to be big, too…the mightiest of the beasts in Oz, and one of Ozma’s main bodyguards (even with the fear factor). Fans were afraid Bert Lahr would largely just do his schtick…New York accent and all, and that’s not far off.

The movie was not a blockbuster in 1939, although it was not a major loser. It only became the beloved American classic we know today after repeated television showings.

I wanted to write this after I saw reaction online to someone floating the idea of Wizard of Oz remake, and how just about every respondent thought it was a terrible idea. I’m sure many of them would have reacted to the idea of the 1939 movie the same way. ūüôā

I generally like to find the good in things, and I wrote this back in 2010:

Hooray for remakes!

I need to update it and add in some more…and I think I may have been a bit harsh on some that I cited as reasons not to like remakes.

My main point, I suppose, is that there have been good remakes…and just rejecting the whole idea out of hand is easy, but if there weren’t ever any remakes, we wouldn’t have some real classics.

Feel free to tell me what you think by commenting on this post.

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This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog.

 

 

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My weird movie theatre memories

June 29, 2019

My weird movie theatre memories

I’ve spent a lot of time in movie theatres.

If we count drive-ins (and they were called Drive-In Theatres), I think that probably goes back to seeing Dr. No with my parents. I have to assume that was in 1963 or so. I only have a flash memory of that…I was quite young, as you can imagine.

I’ve also seen many movies at cons (fan conventions), and of course, thousands on TV. My current favorite way to watch movies is in VR (Virtual Reality). I use a Samsung Gear. There are times the picture could be sharper, but I’m seeing a theatre size screen, have good sound through my earpods, and as I do my floor exercises, the screen follows me when I turn my head (at least on Netflix, it does). I usually have a few things going on at once (I have a Charles Band movie with Christopher Lee on TV in the room as I write this), but the VR experience really has me focus more. It’s definitely best when there are subtitles.

I took a film analysis class in high school, and I actually ran and programmed a movie series for a community center.

For this post, I’m just going to count situations where the public could gather to watch.

Let’s start out with some marathons.

There were five films in the original Planet of the Apes series. I was a big fan (although I don’t like the second movie much).

In 1974, 20th Century Fox had “Go Ape” marathons…you could watch all five movies in a row in a regular theatre.

Well, even though I’d seen them all individually in theatres, I wasn’t going to miss that!

I didn’t just go. I watched in an ape suit.

I had a Don Post PotA chimp mask. Don Post masks were great (my first real job was working in a place which sold them, The House of Humor). It did actually allow for some facial flexibility, and while it was hot for all those hours, it wasn’t intolerable (there was an opening in the back of the “throat”, as I recall, enabling you to breath through the mouth). I had a sort of vinyl olive rainsuit. I paired that with gloves and boots. I really wished I had boots with thumbs in them, as they did in the movie series, but no such luck.

Another time I spent more than eight hours in a row in a theatre was a “Golden Turkeys” film festival…I think it was in Berkeley. It was going to run over night, and my friends and I went in pjs and brought a blanket, or sleeping bag, I don’t remember which.

One of the features was The Creeping Terror, which I recently rewatched on Amazon Prime Video (at AmazonSmile: benefit a non-profit of your choice by shopping*). It’s a super low budget monster movie made in the Tahoe area. They either lost or couldn’t use the dialog track, so much of the movie is narrated (“Bobby told the sheriff…”). The monster looks like a decaying carpet, and you can absolutely tell that a person is walking inside it. The way I had heard the story was that the director or producer was a con artist on probation or who had previously served time. People were paying to be in the movie, and he hadn’t intended to actually complete and release it…somewhat like the plot of The Producers. The judge/probation officer heard about it, called him in, and said, “If you don’t make this movie, you are going back to jail.” I don’t know that that’s actually true…it’s just my recollection of the rumors, and if it isn’t true, my apologies to the people involved that lots of us thought that was the case.

The movie that actually drove people out of the place was The Terror of Tiny Town. It’s a musical Western, with a large cast of little people. This came out shortly before The Wizard of Oz, and many of the actors were in both. The tone varies wildly between being a comedy and being serious…and for some reason, there’s a penguin in a barbershop, as I recall. People went out while it was on to get food.

That festival had a pretty full house, but I had quite a different experience one time when a friend and I went to go see a double feature. It was The Mafu Cage, a psychological horror movie starring Carol Kane and Lee Grant. Kane keeps a man in a cage and treats him as though he is a non-human ape. Hm, Robot Monster, which stars a man in a gorilla suit with a space helmet on his head (they couldn’t afford to make the robot costume they had intended, from what I heard, so they modified George Barrows’ ape suit) was part of the Golden Turkeys festival…is there an ape theme here?

The second feature was, I think, called The Arctic Fox. It was a Japanese nature documentary, narrated by “Grandfather Tree”, or something like that. I love animals, but I remember this being very slow.

By the time it finished, my friend and I were the only ones left in the multiplex theatre…and my friend was asleep.

When it ended, the film just flapped in the projector; it was clearly unattended. When I woke my friend up and we went to leave, it was clear why. The projectionist was standing by the exit, arms crossed across his chest. He looked at me pointedly and said, “That’s the first time I’ve had to run that film all the way through!”

Those are a few of my most memorable movie-going experiences. There have been many:

  • I remember watching Saul Bass’ Phase IV ant movie…in the first row (I don’t recommend that…oh, the movie is fine, but my neck was sore after staring up like that for the whole film)
  • I saw The Rocky Horror Picture Show where they took a 70mm print and enlarged it to fill a 150 degree screen. That was a thing at one point…it was supposed to cover all of your peripheral vision range, so you couldn’t see anything except the screen. I remember the corners being fuzzy, but that was quite a show!
  • I think the longest line I was ever in was, for reasons which I’ve never known, for the The World’s Greatest Athlete with Jan-Michael Vincent…I had to stand in line through several showings to see this Disney sort of Tarzan comedy
  • I also waited in line for a few showing to see Jaws when it was first released. I could hear audience reaction from inside the theatre sometimes…so I actually had a sense of when one of the jump scares was coming, and anticipated it a bit

How about you? Have you had a strange time in a movie theatre? Feel free to let me and my readers know by commenting on this post.

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* I am linking to the same thing at the regular Amazon site, and at AmazonSmile. When you shop at AmazonSmile, half a percent of your purchase price on eligible items goes to a non-profit you choose. It will feel just like shopping at Amazon: you’ll be using your same account. The one thing for you that is different is that you pick a non-profit the first time you go (which you can change whenever you want)…and the good feeling you’ll get. :) Shop ’til you help! :) 

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the I Love My Kindle blog. 

Why don’t American horror movies make more money internationally?

May 6, 2019

Why don’t American horror movies make more money internationally?

At The Measured Circle, we track the box office regularly. Here’s is our list for 2019:

2019 The Measured Circle’s Most Profitable Movies at IMDb

Movies have to make $40 million in domestic gross (I say “dogro”) to get on the list…there are 19 movies on there at time of writing.

No surprise that the top two movies, in terms of the amount of profit (we calculate profit based on the reported budget vs. dogro) are Captain Marvel and Avengers: Endgame. However, combine their two budgets, and it’s over half a billion dollars.

The third movie, Us, is in one of the genres with the best return on investment. That’s when you look at the¬†percentage of profit, rather than the gross amount of profit. Us is Double Golden (on a reported budget of $20 million)…here is our scale on those awards:

  • Dogro 2X production budget = “Money”
  • Dogro 3X production budget = “Golden”
  • Dogro 30X production budget = “Platinum” (God’s Not Dead prompted the creation of this new award)
  • Dogro less than 50% of production budget= “Underperformer”

Captain Marvel has gotten to the “Money” level (which is a considerable accomplishment for a movie with an over $100m budget), and Avengers: Endgame will get there.

Every year, there are horror movies with small budgets that have a great ROI. They tend to be a flash in the pan…having a great opening weekend, then maybe riding for a week or two more, but that’s the bulk of it.

Recently, I’ve been looking more at the international box office impact. In July of 2017, we added the “Road Winner” award, for movies which make at least two-thirds of their box office with what Box Office Mojo (which is where I get these numbers) calls international.

Success overseas is definitely part of the Marvel story. Endgame’s dogro percentage is only 28.3% (this is all based on the updating I did earlier today), and Captain Marvel is 37.6%.

Four of the 19 movies on the list are Road Winners. More than half of the movies have a dogro percentage under 50%…they make more money internationally than domestically.

Two genres tend not to make much of their money internationally: comedy and horror.

Comedy makes sense to me intuitively. It is often very language-based, making translation or even dubbing a complex proposition. Puns, in particular, are going to be difficult.

The author Scott Calvin (who is my sibling)

Scott Calvin’s Amazon Author Central page (at AmazonSmile*)

suggested (when I posed the question about horror movies on Twitter) that it could be culturally based. What is scary in one culture might not be scary in another, perhaps due to familiarity with the subject. A car, for example, might be scarier in a society that doesn’t use them regularly (that’s my example, not Scott’s) than it would be for one where they are constantly present.

I’m not sure that’s it, though. Horror movies often take something very familiar and tweak it a bit. There are several American horror movies with cars/trucks as the “monsters” (Christine, The Car, Duel…).

I would also think that a slasher is scary in any culture.

Interestingly, I would say that foreign horror movies have done reasonably well in the USA, my guess would be as well as other genres. In the past decade or two, Japanese horror movies have done quite well here. There is a whole “school” of Italian horror movies called “giallo”. The British studio Hammer has made a definite impression here.

It occurred to me that maybe a movie like Us just isn’t released internationally, but that’s not the case. When I checked, it was released in more than 50 countries, and not dissimilar to Avengers: Endgame.

Humor and horror do have a lot in common. I’ve actually taught people about the use of humor, and I find the best way to understand it is that laughter is a signal that there is apparent danger (it can be social danger), but no real danger.

That’s very tricky even within the same general culture. People make jokes about their own group (using a stereotype, for instance), and it can be seen as funny within that group (because it is clearly seen as not really representing a danger). If someone from outside the group made the same joke to the same group, it might be seen as offensive.

That is similar to what Scott had said, although I think it may be have less to do with familiarity with the threat source than with the language subtlety around it (which would be like humor)…the threat might be imperceptible to someone without a thorough grasp of idiom and shared culture.

I’m just guessing, though. ūüėČ

I still think it’s possible that there is some strategic decision made, perhaps not to spend much on promotion…but that might be based on past experience with low box office returns.

Any ideas? Why do you think American horror movies don’t make much of their money internationally? Feel free to let me and my readers know by commenting on this post.

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This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog.

In honor of Tim Curry’s 19 April birthday: a Tim Ten

April 19, 2019

In honor of Tim Curry’s 19 April birthday: a Tim Ten

Tim Curry is one of my favorite actors: I suspect I was one of the few people who saw the Tom Arnold version McHale’s Navy in the theatre first run…and that was to see Tim. I also had the privilege of seeing him perform live in Me and My Girl.

What I thought I’d do this year is pick ten performances…that’s not to say these are necessarily my favorites, and I am deliberately picking some which may be more obscure (but I’ll include some of his better known ones as well).

Here they are, in no particular order:

1. Darkness in Legend

This 1985 Ridley Scott fantasy certainly has had some confusion, with different versions and even two entirely different scores. No one, though, has been confused about Tim Curry’s delicious performance as the villain Darkness, who appears as a traditional devil (with big bull-like horns). Truly evil…

2. Dr. Frankenstein in Frankenstein Through the Eyes of the Monster

In a PC computer puzzle game (think something like Myst), the player is the revived Frankenstein’s monster, and in first person, you are exploring the castle…but it is surprisingly emotional, and Tim’s performance as Dr. Frankenstein will chill you to your resurrected bones

3. Billy Flynn on Criminal Minds

It always surprises me how Criminal Minds attracts such a mainstream audience. It depicts the depths of depravity, and in this 2010 2-parter, Tim Curry plays one of the most memorable of those “unsubs”

4. Gaal in Earth 2

This space colonization series was super-hyped and won an Emmy for Special Effects. However, I genuinely believed that Curry deserved an Emmy nomination. Gaal was subtle and mysterious, and was one of biggest arguments for a never-achieved second season…poppet

5. Hosting Saturday Night Live

With musical guest (and fellow Rocky Horror Picture Show alum) Meat Loaf, Tim had great fun! Joe Piscopo brought his Frank Sinatra on to Tim’s Mick Jagger’s special. They trade off singing each other’s songs. Curry also sings a British music hall song, bringing the traditional winking delivery to a song about…zuchinnis?

6. Nigel Thornberry on The Wild Thornberrys

If SNL didn’t convince you that it isn’t always scary with Tim, Nigel Thornberry’s exuberance should do the trick! With close to 100 appearances (90 in the main series, and special and movies), this is probably the part that Tim Curry has played the most on film (and videotape).

7. Dr.Seward on the Dracula audiobook

When I saw that Tim Curry and Alan Cumming were two of the voices on an audiobook of Dracula (a remarkably complex novel which I know well), my mind didn’t immediately go to Tim Curry playing one of the least eccentric parts: Dr. Seward, who runs the asylum where the Count’s helper Renfield is a patient. I suspect that was a conscious choice…it may be the most difficult role to make interesting, but Curry manages it

8. Harley Dune in Wolf Girl

Certainly not his best-known show, this TV movie also features Shawn Ashmore, Grace Jones, and Lesley Anne Warren. The story takes place in a traveling show…and Curry is the proprietor

9. Farley Claymore in The Shadow

Alec Baldwin knows what evil lurks in the hearts of men. While not the biggest part in the movie (he’s basically a henchman), Tim Curry has a scene where he goes absolutely nuts when faced with the Shadow’s legendary abilities

10. The Criminologist in The Rocky Horror Picture Show: Let’s Do the Time Warp Again

In 2016, more than forty years after RHPS was released, Fox did a “live” version with Laverne Cox as Franky. In what is one of the bravest, strongest things I’ve ever seen, Tim Curry portrays the Criminologist. Why so brave? Not only were people going to be thinking about how he was in his immortal starring role (he’s the hero–that’s right, the hero!!) so many decades earlier (arguably, he could have been nominated for an Oscar), this performance was four years after a debilitating stroke. It’s clear that nothing came easy for him for this performance, that even removing his glasses was a challenge. Very people would be willing to put themselves out there like that

There’s your Tim Ten! That’s just a very small portion of this amazing performer’s work. Franky, Pennywise in It, Wadsworth in Clue, Darth Sidious and Chancellor Palpatine in Star Wars: The Clone Wars, Robert Graves in The Shout…I could go on and on. I also listened to his music most of the day; he can really move me, but also give me energy; his music is unique and diverse. When asked to describe his singing style, I remember him saying, “Loud.” That really fits him…it’s not self-effacing, but self-aware, Sunshine.

Those are ten from me: feel free to add more by commenting on this post.

Happy birthday, Tim! Thank you for all you’ve given to me and the world!

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This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog.

Oscar reactions and BOPMadness results 2019

February 27, 2019

Oscar reactions and BOPMadness results 2019

AWARDS SPOILER ALERT (although I figure with something like the Oscars, a day gives you enough time to have watched them without spoilers, if you wanted to do that)

Well, this was certainly a different Oscar year…both in the results and in the broadcast!

I follow them closely, and have been doing an Oscar prediction contest (BOPMadness…Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) for decades. We are usually very accurate, and this year, I think we were probably as far off as we’ve ever been.

I think my method is sound…one factor may have been that we had relatively few players. While I haven’t analyzed it, my intuition is that the more players we have, the better we do. I promoted it quite a bit on Twitter, and I’ll plan to do that again next year, but that didn’t get me many guessers.

It also seems like a lot of other people didn’t do as well as usual. This suggests, perhaps, that the Academy has been successful in changing its membership and its attitudes. In particular, they’ve been trying to address the “#OscarsSoWhite” controversy and the winners this year did reflect more ethnic diversity, especially in the Big Six (acting, directing, Best Picture). Still, outside of the gender-defined acting categories, the nominees were overwhelmingly male…

First, I’ll do some reactions to the broadcast and the results generally, then I’ll talk about the BOPMadness results:

  • Not having a host seemed to work…certainly, it felt like things ran more predictably. That’s both good and bad: if you ask me about my memories of Oscar broadcasts, many of them would have to do with the hosts…especially Billy Crystal. The moment of Jack Palance doing one-handed push-ups, and Crystal’s reaction? Classic! However, in recent years, it has sometimes felt like the Oscars were too much about the host, especially with canned comedy bits and stunts
  • That said, I don’t understand how, when everything seemed to be running like clockwork, they¬†still managed to run significantly late!
  • Something that did still feel like stunts? The choice of celebrities who presented. I understand why they wanted to go outside of Hollywood…it shows the broad interest in movies that people might think is fading, over prestige TV and other options. Also, it seems like people are increasingly politicizing Hollywood, and this helps disarm that. I have to say, though, some of the presenters seemed like they¬†felt awkward…
  • Big congratulations go to Black Panther for the first Oscar wins for the MCU (Marvel Cinematic Universe)! While it didn’t win Best Picture, which was what some people wanted, it did get into mainstream categories, especially Costume. It had to defeat period pieces, and what could legitimately be called “costume dramas”…however, geek-friendly nominees have won in this category in recent years (2016: Fantastic Beasts; 2015: Mad Max: Fury Road; 2010: Alice in Wonderland). DC, by the way, did win one in recent years…Suicide Squad won for Makeup and Hairstyling
  • Even bigger congrats to Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse for its Animated Feature win! It had been winning quite a bit, and this is a win for Marvel, even if not specifically for the MCU
  • Green Book’s win surprised us, and many other people. We had it at 58%, which made it tied for 2nd (with The Favourite)…but we had Roma at a 93% chance
  • Outside of Black Panther and the animated categories, geek-friendly nominees were pretty much shut-out. Even in Visual Effects, the most muggle of the group, First Man, won
  • Trevor Noah probably had the funniest joke of the night (even though you had to understand Xhosa to get it live…I don’t, by the way)
  • I was pretty surprised by people’s reactions to the Lady Gaga/Bradley Cooper duet. It took me three tweets, but I said, “If the rest of us find the social embracings of actors and actresses somewhat excessive, we must remember three things. Not only are they trained to show their passions easily, but they are also put under severe emotional strain by the nature of their work, and, in addition, theirs happens to be a particularly insecure occupation. They need all the mutual reassurance they can get.”–Desmond Morris, writing in Intimate Behavior | As a former actor myself, I feel sorry for those who seem to feel that the connection shown by Bradley Cooper & Lady Gaga during the Oscars can only happen between romantic (& for some, the implication is sexual or future sexual) partners

Now, in terms of BOPMadness:

  • Big Six: we were 81%
  • The Incredibly Difficult Maven Section: 74%
  • Overall: 76%
  • We predicted the following categories: Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Director, Costume, Makeup & Hairstyling, Score (well, half-way…our top two were a tie), Animated Feature. For contrast, last year we picked all of the Big Six except for Best Picture (where our second choice won)…last year was far more typical
  • Our top winner, “George Monkey”, did really well! 94% on The Big Six, 92% on the Maven section, and 93% overall! KT also did pick Green Book for Best Picture…impressive!
  • As for me…76% on the Big Six, 75% on Maven (I usually do really well there), and 76% Overall. That’s not bad, but not as good as I would have liked

I really appreciate everyone who played! I hope you all play again, and that we have even more people next year!

Now, I do want to talk generally about the Oscars…I’ve had some discussions about it on Twitter.

For me, there is a very big difference between the awards and the broadcast. The awards are for by and for the professionals. Given that, I would like to see more Oscars…especially stunts (SAG does that) and casting. I also think doing one for trailers would make sense…it’s a special art form which can have a giant impact on movies.

The broadcast is an educational and fundraising activity: it’s for the public. That’s why they already pick which Oscars appear on the telecast…they don’t do the scientific/technical ones. Yes, it’s nice that all of the current awardees get to be on TV…but honestly, I would understand if there were some which were removed from the main broadcast. They could also be made available other ways. That’s not to say that I respect those artists any less….but the broadcast needs to be popular.

On the other hand, I think it’s important that the awards themselves not try to become less “arty”. I don’t like the idea at all of having a “popular” movies category. What that would tend to do is keep very popular movies from winning the regular “Best Picture” category…that’s also an argument against the Animated Feature category, but an animated movie is objectively different (even though that seems to be where a lot of the most successful original, non-remake or sequel, work is being done). A movie which is popular is not by definition different from one which is “art house”. Some movies which start out as art house movies later break $100m dogro (domestic gross), which I think we can safely say is popular.

The Oscars have the “lane” of being the prestige insider awards, and they should stay there. They don’t want to compete with MTV and The People’s Choice, and they aren’t awards given by critics or journalists. Figuring out how to make the broadcast of the awards attractive is fine…but don’t do it by changing the nature of the awards.

That’s what I think…feel free to tell me and my readers what you think by commenting on this post!

Well, it was another interesting Oscar year! I’m already starting to contemplate next year… ūüėČ

See you in the movies!

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This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog.

BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) 2019: our predictions (will be updated with winners)

February 24, 2019

BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) 2019: our predictions (will be updated with winners)

Thank you to everybody who played! I’ve been doing this Oscar prediction contest for decades, and the more people who play, I think the better we do.

First, I’m going to give you our percentage chances, sorted by category. I’m going to follow that with our predictions sorted by likelihood.

Nominee % Winner Got It
Best Picture [Black Panther (Kevin Feige)] 53%
Best Picture [BlacKkKlansman (Sean McKittrick, Jason Blum, Raymond Mansfield, Jordan Peele and Spike Lee)] 43%
Best Picture [Bohemian Rhasody (Graham King)] 33%
Best Picture [The Favourite (Ceci Dempsey, Ed Guiney, Lee Magiday and Yorgos Lanthimos] 58%
Best Picture [Green Book (Jim Burke, Charles B. Wessler, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly and Nick Vallelonga)] 58%      X
Best Picture [Roma (Gabriela Rodríguez and Alfonso Cuaron,)] 93%
Best Picture [A Star Is Born (Bill Gerber, Bradley Cooper and Lynette Howell Taylor)] 28%
Best Picture [Vice (Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Adam McKay and Kevin Messick)] 43%
Lead Actress [Yalitza Aparicio in Roma] 72%
Lead Actress [Glenn Close in The Wife] 68%
Lead Actress [Olivia Coleman in The Favourite] 64%      X
Lead Actress [Lady Gaga in A Star Is Born] 24%
Lead Actress [Melissa McCarthy in Can You Ever Forgive Me?] 36%
Lead Actor [Christian Bale in Vice] 56%
Lead Actor [Bradley Cooper in A Star Is Born] 48%
Lead Actor [Willem Dafoe in At Eternity’s Gate] 52%
Lead Actor [Rami Malek in Bohemian Rhapsody] 44%      X
Lead Actor [Viggo Mortensen in Green Book] 52%
Supporting Actor [Mahershala Ali in Green Book] 64%      X      X
Supporting Actor [Adam Driver in BlacKkKlansman] 36%
Supporting Actor [Sam Elliott in A Star Is Born] 48%
Supporting Actor [Richard E. Grant in Can You Ever Forgive Me?] 48%
Supporting Actor [Sam Rockwell in Vice] 56%
Supporting Actress [Amy Adams in Vice] 56%
Supporting Actress [Marina de Tavira in Roma] 28%
Supporting Actress [Regina King in If Beale Street Could Talk] 72%      X     X
Supporting Actress [Emma Stone in The Favourite] 52%
Supporting Actress [Rachel Weisz in The Favourite] 44%
Directing [Alfonso Cuaron for Roma] 84%       X      X
Directing [Yorgos Lanthimos for The Favourite] 48%
Directing [Spike Lee for BlacKkKlansman] 44%
Directing [Adam McKay for Vice] 36%
Directing [Pawel Pawlikowski for Cold War] 40%
Original Screenplay [The Favourite (Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara)] 40%
Original Screenplay [First Reformed (Paul Schrader)] 44%
Original Screenplay [Green Book (Nick Vallelonga, Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly)] 60%      X
Original Screenplay [Roma (Alfonso Cuaron)] 64%
Original Screenplay [Vice (Adam McKay)] 44%
Adapted Screenplay [The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (Joel Coen, Ethan Coen)] 32%
Adapted Screenplay [BlacKkKlansman (Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee)] 56%      X
Adapted Screenplay [Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Nicole Holofcener, Jeff Whitty)] 64%
Adapted Screenplay [If Beale Street Could Talk (Barry Jenkins)] 48%
Adapted Screenplay [A Star Is Born (Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters)] 52%
Cinematography [Cold War (Lukasz Zal)] 60%
Cinematography [The Favourite (Robbie Ryan)] 72%
Cinematography [Never Look Away (Caleb Deschanel)] 40%
Cinematography [Roma (Alfonso Cuaron)] 52%      X
Cinematography [A Star Is Born (Matthew Libatique)] 28%
Film Editing [BlacKkKlansman (Barry Alexander Brown)] 40%
Film Editing [Bohemian Rhapsody (John Ottman)] 44%       X
Film Editing [The Favourite (Yorgos Mavropsaridis)] 64%
Film Editing [Green Book (Patrick J. Don Vito)] 36%
Film Editing [Vice (Hank Corwin)] 68%
Production Design [Black Panther (Hannah Beachler, Jay Hart)] 56%      X
Production Design [The Favourite (Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton)] 84%
Production Design [First Man (Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas)] 32%
Production Design [Mary Poppins Returns (John Myhre, Gordon Sim)] 40%
Production Design [Roma (Eugenio Caballero, Barbara Enriquez)] 40%
Costume [The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (Mary Zophres)] 20%
Costume [Black Panther (Ruth E. Carter)] 72%       X      X
Costume [The Favourite (Sandy Powell)] 52%
Costume [Mary Poppins Returns (Sandy Powell)] 48%
Costume [Mary Queen of Scots (Alexandra Byrne)] 60%
Makeup and Hairstyling [Border (Göran Lundström, Pamela Goldammer)] 20%
Makeup and Hairstyling [Mary Queen of Scots (Jenny Shircore, Marc Pilcher, Jessica Brooks)] 53%
Makeup and Hairstyling [Vice (Greg Cannom, Kate Biscoe, Patricia Dehaney)] 73%      X       X
Score [Black Panther (Ludwig Göransson)] 56%       X   X (tie)
Score [BlacKkKlansman (Terence Blanchard)] 40%
Score [If Beale Street Could Talk (Nicholas Britell)] 48%
Score [Isle of Dogs (Alexandre Desplat)] 52%
Score [Mary Poppins Returns (Marc Shaiman)] 56%
Song [When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings from The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (David Rawlings, Gillian Welch)] 28%
Song [All the Stars from Black Panther (Sounwave, Kendrick Lamar, Anthony Tiffith, SZA)] 68%
Song [The Place Where Lost Things Go from Marry Poppins Returns (Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman)] 60%
Song [I’ll Fight from RBG (Diane Warren)] 52%
Song [Shallow from A Star Is Born (Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt)] 44%      X
Sound Mixing [Black Panther (Steve Boeddeker, Brandon Proctor, Peter J. Devlin)] 60%
Sound Mixing [Bohemian Rhapsody (Paul Massey, Tim Cavagin, John Casali)] 36%      X
Sound Mixing [First Man (Jon Taylor, Frank A. Monta√ɬĪo, Ai-Ling Lee, Mary H. Ellis)] 40%
Sound Mixing [Roma (Skip Lievsay, Craig Henighan, José Antonio García)] 56%
Sound Mixing [A Star Is Born (Tom Ozanich, Dean A. Zupancic, Jason Ruder, Steven Morrow)] 60%
Sound Editing [Black Panther (Benjamin A. Burtt, Steve Boeddeker)] 32%
Sound Editing [Bohemian Rhapsody (John Warhurst, Nina Hartstone)] 56%      X
Sound Editing [First Man (Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou)] 64%
Sound Editing [A Quiet Place (Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl)] 72%
Sound Editing [Roma (Sergio Diaz, Skip Lievsay)] 28%
Visual Effects [Avengers: Infinity War (Dan DeLeeuw, Kelly Port, Russell Earl, Daniel Sudick)] 40%
Visual Effects [Christopher Robin (Chris Lawrence, Mike Eames, Theo Jones, Chris Corbould)] 44%
Visual Effects [First Man (Paul Lambert, Ian Hunter, Tristan Myles, J.D. Schwalm)] 56%      X
Visual Effects [Ready Player One (Roger Guyett, Grady Cofer, Matthew E. Butler, David Shirk)] 64%
Visual Effects [Solo: A Star Wars Story (Rob Bredow, Patrick Tubach, Neal Scanlan, Dominic Tuohy)] 48%
Documentary Feature [Free Solo (Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi, Jimmy Chin, Evan Hayes, Shannon Dill)] 48%     X
Documentary Feature [Hale County This Morning, This Evening (RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes, Su Kim)] 48%
Documentary Feature [Minding the Gap (Bing Liu, Diane Moy Quon)] 44%
Documentary Feature [Of Fathers and Sons (Talal Derki, Ansgar Frerich, Eva Kemme, Tobias Siebert)] 44%
Documentary Feature [RBG (Betsy West, Julie Cohen)] 68%
Documentary Short [Black Sheep (Ed Perkins, Jonathan Chinn)] 56%
Documentary Short [End Game (Rob Epstein, Jeffrey Friedman)] 60%
Documentary Short [Lifeboat (Skye Fitzgerald, Bryn Mooser)] 40%
Documentary Short [A Night at the Garden (Marshall Curry)] 52%
Documentary Short [Period. End of Sentence. (Rayka Zehtabchi, Melissa Berton)] 44%      X
Animated Feature [Incredibles 2 (Brad Bird, John Walker, Nicole Paradis Grindle)] 48%
Animated Feature [Isle of Dogs (Wes Anderson, Scott Rudin, Steven Rales, Jeremy Dawson)] 60%
Animated Feature [Mirai (Mamoru Hosoda, Y√ɬĽichir√ɬī Sait√ɬī)] 40%
Animated Feature [Ralph Breaks the Internet (Rich Moore, Phil Johnston, Clark Spencer)] 36%
Animated Feature [Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller)] 68%      X      X
Animated Short [Animal Behaviour (Alison Snowden, David Fine)] 36%
Animated Short [Bao (Domee Shi, Becky Neiman)] 52%      X
Animated Short [Late Afternoon (Louise Bagnall, Nuria González Blanco)] 64%
Animated Short [One Small Step (Andrew Chesworth, Bobby Pontillas)] 40%
Animated Short [Weekends (Trevor Jimenez)] 60%
Live Action Short [Detainment (Vincent Lambe, Darren Mahon)] 56%
Live Action Short [Fauve (Jeremy Comte, Maria Gracia Turgeon)] 48%
Live Action Short [Marguerite (Marianne Farley, Marie-Hélène Panisset)] 68%
Live Action Short [Mother (Rodrigo Sorogoyen, María del Puy Alvarado)] 24%
Live Action Short [Skin (Guy Nattiv, Jaime Ray Newman)] 56%      X
Foreign Language Film [Capernaum (Lebanon)] 32%
Foreign Language Film [Cold War  (Poland)] 64%
Foreign Language Film [Never Look Away (Germany)] 40%
Foreign Language Film [Roma (Mexico)] 60%       X
Foreign Language Film [Shoplifters (Japan)] 56%

Now, here it is, sorted by our likelihood (most likely to least likely):

Nominee %
Best Picture [Roma (Gabriela Rodríguez and Alfonso Cuaron,)] 93%
Directing [Alfonso Cuaron for Roma] 84%
Production Design [The Favourite (Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton)] 84%
Makeup and Hairstyling [Vice (Greg Cannom, Kate Biscoe, Patricia Dehaney)] 73%
Lead Actress [Yalitza Aparicio in Roma] 72%
Supporting Actress [Regina King in If Beale Street Could Talk] 72%
Cinematography [The Favourite (Robbie Ryan)] 72%
Costume [Black Panther (Ruth E. Carter)] 72%
Sound Editing [A Quiet Place (Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl)] 72%
Lead Actress [Glenn Close in The Wife] 68%
Film Editing [Vice (Hank Corwin)] 68%
Song [All the Stars from Black Panther (Sounwave, Kendrick Lamar, Anthony Tiffith, SZA)] 68%
Documentary Feature [RBG (Betsy West, Julie Cohen)] 68%
Animated Feature [Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse (Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller)] 68%
Live Action Short [Marguerite (Marianne Farley, Marie-Hélène Panisset)] 68%
Lead Actress [Olivia Coleman in The Favourite] 64%
Supporting Actor [Mahershala Ali in Green Book] 64%
Original Screenplay [Roma (Alfonso Cuaron)] 64%
Adapted Screenplay [Can You Ever Forgive Me? (Nicole Holofcener, Jeff Whitty)] 64%
Film Editing [The Favourite (Yorgos Mavropsaridis)] 64%
Sound Editing [First Man (Ai-Ling Lee, Mildred Iatrou)] 64%
Visual Effects [Ready Player One (Roger Guyett, Grady Cofer, Matthew E. Butler, David Shirk)] 64%
Animated Short [Late Afternoon (Louise Bagnall, Nuria González Blanco)] 64%
Foreign Language Film [Cold War  (Poland)] 64%
Original Screenplay [Green Book (Nick Vallelonga, Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly)] 60%
Cinematography [Cold War (Lukasz Zal)] 60%
Costume [Mary Queen of Scots (Alexandra Byrne)] 60%
Song [The Place Where Lost Things Go from Marry Poppins Returns (Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman)] 60%
Sound Mixing [Black Panther (Steve Boeddeker, Brandon Proctor, Peter J. Devlin)] 60%
Sound Mixing [A Star Is Born (Tom Ozanich, Dean A. Zupancic, Jason Ruder, Steven Morrow)] 60%
Documentary Short [End Game (Rob Epstein, Jeffrey Friedman)] 60%
Animated Feature [Isle of Dogs (Wes Anderson, Scott Rudin, Steven Rales, Jeremy Dawson)] 60%
Animated Short [Weekends (Trevor Jimenez)] 60%
Foreign Language Film [Roma (Mexico)] 60%
Best Picture [The Favourite (Ceci Dempsey, Ed Guiney, Lee Magiday and Yorgos Lanthimos] 58%
Best Picture [Green Book (Jim Burke, Charles B. Wessler, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly and Nick Vallelonga)] 58%
Lead Actor [Christian Bale in Vice] 56%
Supporting Actor [Sam Rockwell in Vice] 56%
Supporting Actress [Amy Adams in Vice] 56%
Adapted Screenplay [BlacKkKlansman (Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee)] 56%
Production Design [Black Panther (Hannah Beachler, Jay Hart)] 56%
Score [Black Panther (Ludwig Göransson)] 56%
Score [Mary Poppins Returns (Marc Shaiman)] 56%
Sound Mixing [Roma (Skip Lievsay, Craig Henighan, José Antonio García)] 56%
Sound Editing [Bohemian Rhapsody (John Warhurst, Nina Hartstone)] 56%
Visual Effects [First Man (Paul Lambert, Ian Hunter, Tristan Myles, J.D. Schwalm)] 56%
Documentary Short [Black Sheep (Ed Perkins, Jonathan Chinn)] 56%
Live Action Short [Detainment (Vincent Lambe, Darren Mahon)] 56%
Live Action Short [Skin (Guy Nattiv, Jaime Ray Newman)] 56%
Foreign Language Film [Shoplifters (Japan)] 56%
Best Picture [Black Panther (Kevin Feige)] 53%
Makeup and Hairstyling [Mary Queen of Scots (Jenny Shircore, Marc Pilcher, Jessica Brooks)] 53%
Lead Actor [Willem Dafoe in At Eternity’s Gate] 52%
Lead Actor [Viggo Mortensen in Green Book] 52%
Supporting Actress [Emma Stone in The Favourite] 52%
Adapted Screenplay [A Star Is Born (Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters)] 52%
Cinematography [Roma (Alfonso Cuaron)] 52%
Costume [The Favourite (Sandy Powell)] 52%
Score [Isle of Dogs (Alexandre Desplat)] 52%
Song [I’ll Fight from RBG (Diane Warren)] 52%
Documentary Short [A Night at the Garden (Marshall Curry)] 52%
Animated Short [Bao (Domee Shi, Becky Neiman)] 52%
Lead Actor [Bradley Cooper in A Star Is Born] 48%
Supporting Actor [Sam Elliott in A Star Is Born] 48%
Supporting Actor [Richard E. Grant in Can You Ever Forgive Me?] 48%
Directing [Yorgos Lanthimos for The Favourite] 48%
Adapted Screenplay [If Beale Street Could Talk (Barry Jenkins)] 48%
Costume [Mary Poppins Returns (Sandy Powell)] 48%
Score [If Beale Street Could Talk (Nicholas Britell)] 48%
Visual Effects [Solo: A Star Wars Story (Rob Bredow, Patrick Tubach, Neal Scanlan, Dominic Tuohy)] 48%
Documentary Feature [Free Solo (Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi, Jimmy Chin, Evan Hayes, Shannon Dill)] 48%
Documentary Feature [Hale County This Morning, This Evening (RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes, Su Kim)] 48%
Animated Feature [Incredibles 2 (Brad Bird, John Walker, Nicole Paradis Grindle)] 48%
Live Action Short [Fauve (Jeremy Comte, Maria Gracia Turgeon)] 48%
Lead Actor [Rami Malek in Bohemian Rhapsody] 44%
Supporting Actress [Rachel Weisz in The Favourite] 44%
Directing [Spike Lee for BlacKkKlansman] 44%
Original Screenplay [First Reformed (Paul Schrader)] 44%
Original Screenplay [Vice (Adam McKay)] 44%
Film Editing [Bohemian Rhapsody (John Ottman)] 44%
Song [Shallow from A Star Is Born (Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt)] 44%
Visual Effects [Christopher Robin (Chris Lawrence, Mike Eames, Theo Jones, Chris Corbould)] 44%
Documentary Feature [Minding the Gap (Bing Liu, Diane Moy Quon)] 44%
Documentary Feature [Of Fathers and Sons (Talal Derki, Ansgar Frerich, Eva Kemme, Tobias Siebert)] 44%
Documentary Short [Period. End of Sentence. (Rayka Zehtabchi, Melissa Berton)] 44%
Best Picture [BlacKkKlansman (Sean McKittrick, Jason Blum, Raymond Mansfield, Jordan Peele and Spike Lee)] 43%
Best Picture [Vice (Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Adam McKay and Kevin Messick)] 43%
Directing [Pawel Pawlikowski for Cold War] 40%
Original Screenplay [The Favourite (Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara)] 40%
Cinematography [Never Look Away (Caleb Deschanel)] 40%
Film Editing [BlacKkKlansman (Barry Alexander Brown)] 40%
Production Design [Mary Poppins Returns (John Myhre, Gordon Sim)] 40%
Production Design [Roma (Eugenio Caballero, Barbara Enriquez)] 40%
Score [BlacKkKlansman (Terence Blanchard)] 40%
Sound Mixing [First Man (Jon Taylor, Frank A. Monta√ɬĪo, Ai-Ling Lee, Mary H. Ellis)] 40%
Visual Effects [Avengers: Infinity War (Dan DeLeeuw, Kelly Port, Russell Earl, Daniel Sudick)] 40%
Documentary Short [Lifeboat (Skye Fitzgerald, Bryn Mooser)] 40%
Animated Feature [Mirai (Mamoru Hosoda, Y√ɬĽichir√ɬī Sait√ɬī)] 40%
Animated Short [One Small Step (Andrew Chesworth, Bobby Pontillas)] 40%
Foreign Language Film [Never Look Away (Germany)] 40%
Lead Actress [Melissa McCarthy in Can You Ever Forgive Me?] 36%
Supporting Actor [Adam Driver in BlacKkKlansman] 36%
Directing [Adam McKay for Vice] 36%
Film Editing [Green Book (Patrick J. Don Vito)] 36%
Sound Mixing [Bohemian Rhapsody (Paul Massey, Tim Cavagin, John Casali)] 36%
Animated Feature [Ralph Breaks the Internet (Rich Moore, Phil Johnston, Clark Spencer)] 36%
Animated Short [Animal Behaviour (Alison Snowden, David Fine)] 36%
Best Picture [Bohemian Rhasody (Graham King)] 33%
Adapted Screenplay [The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (Joel Coen, Ethan Coen)] 32%
Production Design [First Man (Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas)] 32%
Sound Editing [Black Panther (Benjamin A. Burtt, Steve Boeddeker)] 32%
Foreign Language Film [Capernaum (Lebanon)] 32%
Best Picture [A Star Is Born (Bill Gerber, Bradley Cooper and Lynette Howell Taylor)] 28%
Supporting Actress [Marina de Tavira in Roma] 28%
Cinematography [A Star Is Born (Matthew Libatique)] 28%
Song [When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings from The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (David Rawlings, Gillian Welch)] 28%
Sound Editing [Roma (Sergio Diaz, Skip Lievsay)] 28%
Lead Actress [Lady Gaga in A Star Is Born] 24%
Live Action Short [Mother (Rodrigo Sorogoyen, María del Puy Alvarado)] 24%
Costume [The Ballad of Buster Scruggs (Mary Zophres)] 20%
Makeup and Hairstyling [Border (Göran Lundström, Pamela Goldammer)] 20%

I’ll update this with winners!

See you in the movies!

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This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog. 

The Oscars are tomorrow! Help us predict the winners

February 23, 2019

The Oscars are tomorrow! Help us predict the winners

For decades, I’ve done an Oscar prediction contest, BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness).

We tend to be very accurate: last year, we scored 94% overall.

Why is that?

It’s the wisdom of crowds, and the method I use for people to make their predictions.

You can still make your predictions, and the more people who do so, the better I think we’ll do. Use this form:

https://t.co/AgRAFC30xe

It should just take you a couple of minutes: you rank every nominee in every category.

You have until noon Pacific time on Sunday, 24 February to complete it. I’ll close the voting then.

That will give me time to put out our predictions before the ceremony.

In case you are wondering, I make my own predictions before I receive anybody else’s, so I’m not unfairly influenced. I also don’t make our predictions publicly available until I close the voting.

While so far, I’ve talked about the group value, individuals certainly do compete as well. We announce winners in The Big Six (the acting categories, Best Picture, and Director), the Incredibly Difficult Maven Section (everything else), and Overall (combining the two). We play for that most valuable of human possessions…Bragging Rights. ūüėČ

You also have the option to have your guesses e-mailed to you, so you can play along.

I’d love it if you play, but even if you don’t, you can see our predictions in this blog on Sunday.

See you in the movies!

Join thousands of readers and try the free The Measured Circle magazine at Flipboard!

All aboard our The Measured Circle’s Geek Time Trip at The History Project (AKA Enwoven)! Join the TMCGTT Timeblazers!

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog. 

 

Oscar noms: their other 2018 performances (or, how to get an Oscar nom…hint: it helps if you are playing a human being)

January 29, 2019

Oscar noms: their other 2018 performances (or, how to get an Oscar nom…hint: it helps if you are playing a human being)

While we tend to think of Oscar acting nominees as being recognized as the “Best Lead Actor”, it’s actually the specific performance that is being recognized…not that person’s intrinsic acting abilities.

Most actors are inconsistent…sometimes, their performances are better than others (there are some possible exceptions…Vincent Price comes to mind as someone who always had a good performance). Sure, that could have to do with the material or the director or the amount of time that actor has to work on the part.

I always found John Carradine’s approach to that interesting. Carradine (father of David, Keith, and Robert) was a Shakespearean actor who appeared in prestige movies including the Grapes of Wrath, ended up in movies like The Astro-Zombies and Star Slammer. As I recall, he said he’d made it a rule to just always accept the next script that was offered. He thought that waiting for a “good script” and/or a “good director” was cheating…the actor’s job was acting, and they should do the best possible with whatever the situation was.

That’s not how most actors do it in Hollywood, and certainly not what their agents would want them to do. They choose roles in part because of how they will affect their careers (whether that’s because they want to make more money or get offered particular types of parts or work with particular directors).

So, while Melissa McCarthy was nominated for “Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role” for her performance as Lee Israel (in Can You Ever Forgive Me?) that wasn’t her only performance last year. I suppose it was just a coin flip between that and her work as Detective Connie Edwards in The Happytime Murders, a movie with the tagline SEX. MURDER. PUPPETS. ūüėČ

How about the other acting nominees? I’ll deliberately describe the parts in ways that might emphasize their non-Oscar bait qualities…that’s not meant to diminish those movies, it’s just fun to play up the contrast.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

Glenn Close nominated for Joan Castleman in The Wife

Close didn’t have another theatrical release in 2018…but The Wife was technically released in 2017. That year, she also appeared as Dr. Caroline Caldwell in The Girl with All the Gifts, an R-rated dystopian horror movie.

Lady Gaga nominated for Ally in A Star Is Born

No other theatrical releases in 2018

Olivia Colman nominated for Queen Anne in The Favourite

No other theatrical features in 2018…small screen roles included Strawberry the rabbit in Watership Down & Marion with Thomas the Tank Engine.

Yalitza Aparicio nominated for Roma in Roma

Only screen acting credit to date.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

Bradley Cooper nominated for Jack in A Star Is Born

Cooper appeared as Rocket Raccoon in Avengers: Infinity War.

Christian Bale nominated for Dick Cheney in Vice

Also appeared as Bagheera the panther in Mowgli: Legend of the Jungle.

Rami Malek nominated for Freddie Mercury in Bohemian Rhapsody

No other theatrical releases, but had a recurring role as Flip McVicker on BoJack Horseman, an animated series about a washed-up alcoholic horse.

Viggo Mortensen nominated for Tony Lip in Green Book

No other credits in 2018.

Williem Dafoe nominated for Vincent Van Gogh in At Eternity’s Gate

Also appeared as Vulko the merman in the movie Aquaman.

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

Adam Driver nominated for Flip Zimmerman in BlacKkKlansman

As Toby in The Man Who Killed Don Quixote, he goes time traveling and is mistaken for Sancho Panza.

Mahershala Ali nominated for Dr. Don Shirley in Green Book

Ali was in another Oscar-nominated movie…voicing Uncle Aaron in Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse.

Richard E. Grant nominated for John Hock in Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Played the leader of the Land of Snowflakes in Disney’s The Nutcracker and the Four Realms.

Sam Elliot nominated for Bobby in a Star Is Born

I would have loved to have seenElliot’s nomination read out for Calvin Barr in The Man Who Killed Hitler and Then the Bigfoot. ūüėČ

Sam Rockwell nominated for George W. Bush in Vice

While uncredited, Rockwell appeared in Mute, set forty years in the future where Cactus Bill helps Leo.

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

Amy Adams nominated for Lynne Cheney in Vice

No other theatrical release in 2018.

Emma Stone nominated for Abigail in The Favourite

On the small screen, co-starred with Jonah Hill in Maniac, the comedy-drama involving an experimental drug trial.

Marina de Tavira nominated for Senora Sofia in Roma

Appeared in Cómplices a comedy where a womanizing uncle takes his nephew on a beach trip to meet women.

Rachel Weisz nominated for Lady Sarah in The Favourite

Also appeared in The Mercy…but that’s based on real, serious events, so doesn’t support the premise of this article well. ūüėČ

Regina King nominated for Sharon Rivers in If Beale Street Could Talk

No other theatrical releases in 2018.

What can we determine from this?

Assuming that the actors didn’t have a quantum leap in improved acting ability between movies, it’s safe to say that playing a Homo sapiens is a better bet than another species (raccoon, panther, merman…um, snowflake?), and playing an historical figure (Dick Cheney, Lynne Cheney, George W. Bush, Vincent Van Gogh, Queen Anne, Don Shirley, Tony Lip, Flip Zimmerman, Freddie Mercury…something like half of the total nominated roles) is even better. Definitely being in a geek-friendly movie is a hindrance to get Oscar acting noms. That certainly doesn’t mean you shouldn’t do them! I’ve loved the trend of prestige actors appear in GF movie…just, maybe, do more than that in a year. ūüėČ

What do you think? Feel free to let me and my readers know by commenting on this post.

Join thousands of readers and try the free The Measured Circle magazine at Flipboard!

All aboard our The Measured Circle’s Geek Time Trip at The History Project (AKA Enwoven)! Join the TMCGTT Timeblazers!

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog. 

 

 

Just published: The Measured Circle’s 2018 Box Office MVPs

January 25, 2019

Just published: The Measured Circle’s 2018 Box Office MVPs

Well, I’ve just finished crunching the numbers and published the

2018 The Measured Circle’s Box Office MVPs

list at IMDb!

That doesn’t mean that it won’t still change…there are certainly 2018 releases (especially those released late in the year) which are making money, and an Oscar bump could have an impact after those awards are announced on February 24th.

Still, it doesn’t look to me like people are likely to be added…more that standings might change.

The Mule is very likely to break $100m dogro (domestic gross), but I think the cast members of that movie who are to make the list have already done so.

The Oscar bump may bring some movies up to $40m which aren’t now but I think what you can see is going to be the vast majority of MVPs.

To briefly explain how you get on the list (the complete explanation is part of the list):

  • You need to be first-billed in a movie which dogros $100m
  • You need to also appear in another movie which dogros at least $40m, but you need not be first-billed

Our #1 MVP this year was…Letitia Wright!

Like several of her co-stars in Black Panther (the top four all appeared in that movie), she also appeared in Avengers: Infinity War. Unlike Chadwick Boseman, Danai Gurira, and Winston Duke, she had a¬†third movie: Ready Player One. That gave her a list total of $1,511.6m ($1,511,600,000…give or take, since we round the numbers to a single decimal digit).

Congratulations, Letitia!

There are a lot of newcomers to the list, probably reflecting the more diverse movies last year.

Here is the list…the amounts are in millions of dollars of dogro for the qualifying movies:

Name 2018
Letitia Wright 1516.6
Danai Gurira 1378.9
Chadwick Boseman 1378.9
Winston Duke 1378.9
Samuel L. Jackson 1287.4
Chris Pratt 1096.5
Josh Brolin 1047.4
Angela Bassett 1038.1
Bradley Cooper 981.5
Benedict Cumberbatch 949.1
Sope Aluko 913.6
Paul Bettany 892.6
Michael B. Jordan 815.4
Sterling K. Brown 751.1
Florence Kasumba 751.1
Daniel Kaluuya 742.4
Chris Hemsworth 724.6
Craig T. Nelson 677.2
Holly Hunter 658.7
Randall Park 524.5
Toby Jones 516.9
Alan Tudyk 513.1
Patrick Wilson 493.1
Alec Baldwin 473.6
T.J. Miller 456.2
Tye Sheridan 456.2
Dolph Lundgren 432.2
Angela Lansbury 431.5
Woody Harrelson 427.3
Hannah John-Kamen 412.6
Carter Hastings 408.0
Emily Blunt 391.4
Judy Greer 375.9
Leigh Whannell 375.6
Michael Pe√Īa 362.9
Simon Pegg 357.9
James Corden 338.7
Mika Kubo 334.4
Walton Goggins 332.9
Kathryn Hahn 329.4
Rashida Jones 325.0
Julie Walters 324.0
Zo√ę Kravitz 320.9
Awkwafina 314.7
Laurence Fishburne 314.4
√ďlafur Darri √ďlafsson 304.4
Andy Garcia 287.0
Meryl Streep 281.8
Colin Firth 281.8
Liang Chang 280.1
Hailee Steinfeld 279.7
Kurt Yue 268.2
Chris Pine 262.4
Michelle Williams 262.3
Aidan Gillen 260.8
Michael Harney 247.2
Mindy Kaling 240.7
Taraji P. Henson 238.1
Henry Golding 228.0
Ken Jeong 221.2
Miles Robbins 219.6
Keegan-Michael Key 218.5
Taissa Farmiga 215.3
Chris Parnell 214.2
Deirdre Goodwin 209.7
Cate Blanchett 208.7
Drew Scheid 206.0
Victor Rasuk 198.2
Jack Quaid 184.3
Rose Byrne 183.0
John Cena 178.1
Omid Djalili 175.5
Dwayne Johnson 169.4
Elizabeth Debicki 157.6
Eric Johnson 153.9
Sakina Jaffrey 149.0
P.J. Byrne 143.9

For more details (such as which movies make up the number), please see that IMDb list at¬†2018 The Measured Circle’s Box Office MVPs.

Congratulations to all the winners!

Join thousands of readers and try the free The Measured Circle magazine at Flipboard!

All aboard our The Measured Circle’s Geek Time Trip at The History Project (AKA Enwoven)! Join the TMCGTT Timeblazers!

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog. 

2019 Oscar noms

January 22, 2019

2019 Oscar noms

This is preliminary, almost live-blogging…I’ll refine it soon this morning.

Some thoughts:

  • Black Panther got a number of noms, including Best Picture. Kendrick Lamar gets a nomination for song, and this is the first Marvel movie to be nominated for Best Picture
  • No acting noms in GF (geek-friendly) movies: are we back to the Academy thinking that people don’t act in GF movies? They aren’t exceptionally well directed or written?
  • Generally, this year is not as geek-friendly as it could have been. A Quiet Place, which some thought might follow Get Out as an Oscar-nommed horror movie, Mary Poppins Returns, Bird Box, Annihilation, certainly didn’t see much action. AQP was nommed for Sound Editing, but major noms didn’t go geeky…compare that to last year, especially with The Shape of Water, the aforementioned Get Out, and Beauty and the Beast
  • Netflix gets its first Best Picture nom for Roma
  • The Mary Poppins Returns showing (Song, Score, Costume, Production Design) has to be seen as disappointing
  • While not geek-friendly, it was interesting to see Melissa McCarthy get nominated for Leading Actress (Can You Ever Forgive Me?)…congratulations! She was in a geek-friendly movie in 2018…but wasn’t nominated for The Happytime Murders ūüėČ
  • If you want to see the big name movies online, you can shell out for HBO and watch them on Now or Go (or, if you have AT&T for internet, you get it on DirecTV…although I have to say, I find that app particularly difficult to use). For the roughly $10 a month club, it’s definitely Netflix, at least for geeky titles

I’m going to call out the geeky nominees, and I’ll make some comments.

Note: I used Gold Derby to help me determine “buzz”. I was surprised to see Suspiria show up as much as it did there…

Best Original Song

  • All the Stars (Black Panther)
  • The Place Where Lost Things Go (Mary Poppins Returns)

SFX (Special Effects)

  • Avengers: Infinity War
  • Christopher Robin
  • Ready Player One
  • Solo: A Star Wars Story
  • First Man (geek status debatable)

Doc Short

Documentary Feature

Editing

No GF nominees in this category

Sound Mixing

  • Black Panther
  • First Man (geek status debatable)

Sound Editing

  • Black Panther
  • A Quiet Place
  • First Man (geek status debatable)

Production Design

  • Black Panther
  • Mary Poppins Returns
  • First Man (geek status debatable)

Live Action Short

Animated Short

Best Animated Feature

  • Incredibles 2
  • Isle of Dogs
  • Mirai
  • Ralph Breaks the Internet
  • Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

 Supporting Actor

No GF nominees in this category

Other geeky movies which had buzz in this category:

  • Michael B. Jordan (Black Panther)
  • John Krasinski (A Quiet Place)
  • Alex Wolff (Hereditary)
  • Hugh Grant (Paddington 2)
  • John Malkovich (Bird Box)
  • Trevante Rhodes (Bird Box)
  • Oscar Isaac (Annihilation)
  • Kyle Chandler (First Man) (geek status debatable)
  • Corey Stoll (First Man) (geek status debatable)

Supporting Actress

No GF nominees in this category

Other geeky movies which had buzz in this category:

  • Emily Blunt (A Quiet Place)
  • Danai Gurira (Black Panther)
  • Lupita Nyong’o (Black Panther)
  • Letitia Wright (Black Panther)
  • Tilda Swinton (Suspiria)
  • Sarah Paulson (Bird Box)
  • Jennifer Jason Leigh (Annihilation)
  • Gina Rodriguez (Annihilation)
  • Meryll Streep (Mary Poppins Returns)
  • Clare Foy (First Man) (geek status debatable)

Makeup and Hairstyling

No geeky nominees in this category

Costume

  • Black Panther
  • Mary Poppins Returns

Other geeky movies which had buzz in this category:

  • Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
  • The Nutcracker and the Four Realms
  • Avengers: Infinity War
  • Suspiria
  • Ready Player One
  • A Quiet Place
  • Annihilation
  • Hereditary
  • Bird Box
  • First Man (geek status debatable)

Cinematography

No GF nominees in this category

Other geeky movies which had buzz in this category:

  • Black Panther
  • A Quiet Place
  • Mary Poppins Returns
  • Avengers: Infinity War
  • Suspiria¬†
  • Hereditary
  • Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald
  • Bird Box
  • Annihilation

Original Screenplay

No GF nominees in this category

Other geeky movies which had buzz in this category:

  • A Quiet Place
  • Hereditary
  • Isle of Dogs

Adapted Screenplay

No GF nominees in this category

Other geeky movies which had buzz in this category:

  • Black Panther
  • Mary Poppins Returns
  • Bird Box
  • Paddington 2
  • Incredibles 2
  • Suspiria
  • Annihilation
  • Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Original Score

  • Black Panther
  • Isle of Dogs
  • Mary Poppins Returns

Foreign Language

No GF nominees in this category

Directing

No GF nominees in this category

Other geeky movies which had buzz in this category:

  • Ryan Coogler (Black Panther)
  • John Krasinski (A Quiet Place)
  • Rob Marshall (Mary Poppins Returns)
  • Luca Guadagnino (Suspiria)
  • Wes Anderson (Isle of Dogs)
  • Susanne Bier (Bird Box)
  • Alex Garland (Annihilation)

Lead Actress

No gf nominees in this category

Other geeky movies which had buzz in this category:

  • Emily Blunt (Mary Poppins Returns)
  • Toni Collette (Hereditary)
  • Sandra Bullock (Bird Box)
  • Emily Blunt (A Quiet Place)
  • Dakota Johnson (Suspiria)
  • Natalie Portman (Annihilation)

Lead Actor

No GF nominees in this category

Other geeky movies which had buzz in this category:

  • Chadwick Boseman (Black Panther)
  • Lin-Manuel Miranda (Mary Poppins Returns)
  • Ryan Gosling (First Man) (geek status debatable)

Best Picture

  • Black Panther

Other geeky movies which had buzz in this category:

  • Mary Poppins Returns
  • A Quiet Place
  • Hereditary
  • Incredibles 2
  • First Man (geek status debatable)
  • Bird Box
  • Suspiria
  • Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse
  • Annihilation
  • Isle of Dogs

Where can you legally stream any of these Oscar nominees without paying additional money (subscriptions required)?

Amazon Prime:

Hulu:

Netflix:

  • Black Panther
  • Avengers: Infinity War
  • Solo: A Star Wars Story

HBO Now/HBO Go/the HBO Amazon Channel

  • Ready Player One
  • Isle of Dogs

As we saw last year, Netflix is the place to be for the nominated geek-friendly movies. People are thinking of them more for original content, but they still walk the big dogs.

How about streaming if you are willing to piece pay to rent or buy? All links are to JustWatch:

Complete list of nominees from the Academy website:

http://oscar.go.com/nominees

Stay tuned for our annual BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) if you want to predict the winners!

Join thousands of readers and try the free The Measured Circle magazine at Flipboard

Join thousands of readers and try the free The Measured Circle magazine at Flipboard !

All aboard our new The Measured Circle’s Geek Time Trip at The History Project! Join the TMCGTT Timeblazers!

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog. 


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