2017 Movie Box Office: 40, 80, 1, 2 , 3

2017 Movie Box Office: 40, 80, 1, 2 , 3

It’s always fun to watch the movie box office. Of course, some movies cost more to make than others…much, much more.  There’s also a complicating factor, since people pay a few dollars more for 3-D movies.  It would be nice to have actual admissions shown, but we don’t get that.

Also, naturally, movies do make more the longer they’ve been in release (especially if there is a re-release, but that’s a different story).

I used to figure that it took twenty million dollars to get on the radar, but I’ve updated that.  I now figure the break point is forty million dollars.  I hit the points after that as eighty million, one hundred million, two hundred million, and three hundred million (almost nothing gets past four…three movies did in 2012, and three in 2013, none for 2014, three did in 2015, and three will for 2016). I think we’ll leave the page title the way it is, even though a handful of movies may make it in 2017 (including the new Star Wars).

As a new feature started in 2013, we decided to label movies, to make their profitability clearer.

A traditional measure of success is the dogro being twice the production budget. Using that as a starting point…

Dogro 2X production budget = “Money”
Dogro 3X production budget = “Golden”
Dogro 30x production budget = “Platinum” (God’s Not Dead prompted this new designation)

Dogro less than 50% of production budget = “Underachiever”

Here are the results as of October 14 (note: we usually pull the date from IMDb, but it hasn’t been updating, apparently since August 20…we recently switched to BoxOfficeMojo ((both sites are owned by Amazon))), 2017 (we will continue at least until no 2017 release is in the top ten for the week…although if that happens before the Oscars, we will look later for an Oscar bump):

40 million

80 million

100 million

200 million

300 million

Dogros marked with an * were in the top ten when we updated this list.
Dogros marked with an = have not changed from the previous week. That doesn’t mean that they won’t earn any more money, but it suggests that the initial arc is over, or that the studio has not reported for the week before we update the list.

Projected (we are confident that these movies will appear on the list…USA release dates are shown, subject to change, when known):

  • Star Wars: Episode VIII – The Last Jedi (December 15, 2017)
  • Justice League (November 17, 2017)
  • Thor: Ragnarok (November 3, 2017)
  • Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (December 20, 2017)
  • World War Z 2 (may get pushed to 2018)
  • Pitch Perfect 3 (December 22, 2017)
  • Coco (November 22, 2017)
  • My Little Pony: the Movie (October 6, 2017)
  • Daddy’s Home 2 (November 10, 2017)
  • Happy Death Day (October 13, 2017)

Possible (we are less confident in these, but wouldn’t be surprised if they dogro at least $40m)

  • Saw: Legacy
  • The Bye Bye Man
  • Rings
  • Friday the 13th
  • The Space Between Us
  • Murder on the Orient Express
  • The Snowman
  • Super Troopers 2
  • Billionaire Boys Club
  • Untitled Cloverfield Anthology Movie
  • Annihilation

A version of this list ranking them in order of most profitable (domestic gross versus reported production budget) is here at IMDb:

2017 The Measured Circle’s Most Profitable Movies

Sub-40s
These movies did not make it to the list above because they did not dogro $40.0m. We will note two kinds: ones that have dogroed triple their production budget (Golden) or had a production budget of at $40.0m and have not dogroed half of their budget (Underachiever). Golden Sub-40s may appear here before their run is done and they may earn more dogro (particularly if they are nominated for or win Oscars). Underachiever Sub-40s are not added here until that status seems very likely (we will typically wait at least two months from the release date).
Golden Sub-40s:

Underperformer Sub-40s (budget at least $40.0m):

This page by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog.
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