“Alexa, what did all those Back to the Future stories miss?” (and fact future v fict future)
Yesterday was October 21st, 2015,
Back to the Future Day (at AmazonSmile: benefit a non-profit of your choice by shopping*)
That’s the day in 1989’s Back to the Future II that Marty McFly and Doc Brown arrive in the future.
There were many, many stories about it…enough to fill a Ford Super De Luxe convertible. 😉 Now, I’m not suggesting they were similar to the material that filled Biff Tannen’s car…far from it.
Most were thoughtful comparisons of what was shown in the movie (fict((ional)) future) versus how we actually live today (fact future…at least, the future to 1989). I particularly liked this one:
Back to the Future 2015 SuperScholar.org
However, as an owner of an
Amazon Echo (at AmazonSmile: benefit a non-profit of your choice by shopping*)
I’ve been really surprised that people have generally ignored Marty McFly’s future home’s automation and talktech.
In the movie (and there are mild spoilers here…more about bits than about the plot), the house welcomes a character. Another character says, “….you should reprogram: it’s dangerous to enter without lights on.” When the character repeats, “Lights on?”, the lights come on in the room, with a tone to let the user know that the command has been heard (or just to acknowledge the lights coming on).
That is how I turn the lights on in my house…and the voice that tells me “Okay” is much more natural than what we generally hear in the movie.
I say, “Alexa, turn on the Family Room”, or “Alexa, turn on the Library”.
My Echo hears me and Alexa turns on the appropriate bulb which was part of the
GE Link Starter Kit, PLINK-SKIT, Wireless, A19 LED Light Bulb, Pack of 2 (at AmazonSmile*)
Could I “reprogram” the house to simply turn on the lights when I got home?
The Wink app (Wink, by the way, has been sold following a bankruptcy by Quirky, but my equipment still works) has “robots”. I could tell it:
- If the robot detects my location changing to arriving at my home address
- Then turn lights on
I don’t do that, but it’s an option.
Later, another character tells the talktech to turn off the “art” on a big screen and to display several channels (simultaneously).
That’s a bit tougher to do currently. I’m going to be testing in the near future using our
Amazon Echo (at AmazonSmile: benefit a non-profit of your choice by shopping*)
to communicate with a
Samsung SmartThings Hub (at AmazonSmile*)
to control a
Logitech Harmony Home Control (at AmazonSmile*)
to in turn control an
Amazon Fire TV (at AmazonSmile*)
I know, I know…that’s quite a daisy chain. Alexa is on my Fire TV (this is the 2nd generation), but it can’t actually control the channels or do voice search. The Fire TV does voice search, but that’s a different system. I do hope that the Fire TV will eventually be able to natively not only open, say, Hulu, but “Show me the next episode of [show name]”. I think we’ll get there within the next two years.
Regardless, talktech is a solid hit for BttF2…why wasn’t it being mentioned in stories and infographics along with self-lacing sneakers, hoverboards, and holograms?
Does it seem so natural that it wasn’t worth analysis? Alternatively, did the writers not realize that this arrived right on schedule? The Echo and the Alexa Voice Service have had a super soft launch…there weren’t lines of people outside a store waiting for the Echo. It’s been more like a rising tide than an asteroid strike. Amazon may be very clever in avoiding huge expectations and great demand and having it gradually just become part of our lives.
Now, let’s talk about fact future versus fict future.
How many predictions did Back to the Future 2 get right?
There were no predictions…so none. 😉
Back to the Future 2 is a work of fiction: it’s not the analysis of a futurist or the premonitions of a psychic.
Much of what we see is there for comic effect, and to tie into the first and third movies.
Let’s take Jaws 19 playing at a movie theatre.
- Jaws was released in 1975
- Jaws 2 was released in 1978
- Jaws 3-D was released in 1983
- Jaws: The Revenge (effectively Jaws 4) was released in 1987
From 1985 (when Bttf2 is set) to 2015, a new Jaws movie would have to have come out on average every 15 months or so. While it’s certainly possible that production schedules will become shorter as technology improves, I’m not sure that’s a specific prediction they intended (but I’d be happy to be contradicted by the moviemakers…comment, Bob Gale?). 😉
We can also see that Jaws 19 is directed by Max Spielberg. Max was born on June 13, 1985…and is the son of Steven Spielberg, the director of the original Jaws (and an Executive Producer) on BttF2. Is this a prediction of a fact based on trends and analysis…or an in joke? I’d lean towards the latter… 😉
While some geeky fiction is trying to project current trends, it’s also often a commentary on the present. It may not be intended at all to represent a likely future…in some cases, it’s actually intended to help stave off some developments portrayed within it.
That’s one issue with fict future versus fact future comparisons.
Another one is this: the future may be boring. 🙂
Drama is based on difficulty: stress, risk, friction, and difficult choices.
Technology, especially in the past decade or so, has been about removing all that.
Let’s say we set a new Back to the Future, set thirty years from now (2045).
Cars are impossible to crash. It’s impossible to fall off a building. All weaponry is nonlethal. Anyone on the street can be immediately identified and helped.
I’m not saying that’s going to happen by then…but it is a not unreasonable assessment of the trends.
Not only is the tendency towards less danger (and therefore less drama), there are two other factors.
Technology is becoming more invisible, and it’s becoming more internal.
BttF2 uses fingerprint technology for the house to allow someone to enter.
Currently, SmartHomes can use SmartPhones to recognize when someone comes to the home and unlocks the door (although there is a hypothetical risk that the phone could be stolen).
In the future, I fully expect that our technology will recognize us by our simple biology…no technology necessary to be carried. Facial recognition is one way, but there may be others, akin to the original Outer Limits’ O.B.I.T. (Outer Band Individuated Teletracer), which basically picks up on an individual’s unique electromagnetic emanations.
It wouldn’t be very dramatic in a movie, though, to simply have the door open, with no indication of how the individual was recognized.
Similarly, the TV should have been able to largely anticipate what the character wanted to watch…or at least, most of it. That conversation should not be necessary at some point in the future (not necessarily in the next thirty years), but again, would be much less dramatic. Imagine this scene in a movie:
A detective wakes up at home. The lights simply come on. The self-cleaning clothes change from pyjamas to a uniform with no interaction. The detective sits down to a breakfast table, where the food is already ready and eats breakfast (again, no interaction). The detective steps outside, and a car is waiting. The detective gets in the car, and it drives away…already knowing where the detective wants to go, and monitoring the detective’s emotional reaction to its choices. En route to where a criminal is already unconscious (having been spotted and subdued by autonomous technology), other cars smoothly move out of the way on their own.
Not very dramatic, right?
In terms of technology becoming more internal…I feel like we are very connected to other people now, but not with the strangers immediately in our vicinity.
Classic old time movie scene: a newsboy shouting, “Extra! Extra! Read all about it!” Somebody buys a paper, and we see the headline. The character exclaims, “Gosh all hemlock!”
Current version: character gets a subtle vibration notification, glances at a watch, and reads the news. In the same room, other characters are checking watches or phone…could be the same headline, might be something else, like a reminder to buy milk. Everything is done without speech.
Which one makes the better scene?
Even though geeky fiction isn’t usually trying to actually predict the future, sometimes it does…but intriguingly, it is sometimes a case of life imitating art.
Dr. Martin Cooper has suggested that seeing the communicator on Star Trek inspired his work on the mobile phone.
Does anyone doubt that Buck Rogers and Flash Gordon have been inspirations for work on ray guns?
Fiction may not intentionally predict the future…but it may help to inspire it.
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