Movies through Labor Day 2013

Movies through Labor Day 2013

The On the Circumference posts contain short pieces which may or may not be expanded later.

Even though there have been records set, this has not felt like a great year for movies so far. There have been some movies that have really lost a lot of money, when you compare their domestic gross (dogro) to their production budgets, as we do here:

http://www.imdb.com/list/KL-q-CWciQY/

Two movies at this point have dogroed more than $100 million less less than their production budgets:

Jack the Giant Slayer

Dogro to date: $65.2m
Reported budget: $195.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $-129.8m (34%)

The Lone Ranger

Dogro to date: $88.0m
Reported budget: $215.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: -$127.0m (41%)

The percentages there are dogro v. production budget.

When the box office has been setting record grosses, it seems like it has been because there have been more movies in the marketplace, not because some have been particularly profitable.

There have been some low budget movies that have done really well…and yes, a couple of movies that cost more than $100 million to make, and have made a lot of money.

We are now giving movies awards based on their categories. Let’s take a look at the top and bottom of those, with the highest percentage of dogro to production budget first:

Golden (dogro at least 300% of production budget): 10 movies to date this year

The Purge (Septuple Golden)

Dogro to date: $64.4m
Reported budget: $3.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $61.4m (2147%)

A Haunted House (Quintuple Golden)

Dogro to date: $40.0m
Reported budget: $2.5m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $37.5m (1600%)

The Conjuring (triple golden)

Dogro to date: $132.0m
Reported budget: $13.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $119.0m (1015%)

Mama

Dogro to date: $71.6m
Reported budget: $15.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $56.6m (477%)

Despicable Me 2

Dogro to date: $351.0m
Reported budget: $76.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $275.0m (462%)

The Call

Dogro to date: $51.0m
Reported budget: $13.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $38.0m (392%)

Evil Dead

Dogro to date: $54.2m
Reported budget: $14.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $40.2m (387%)

Identity Thief

Dogro to date: $134.0m
Reported budget: $35.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $99.0m (383%)

The Heat

Dogro to date: $156.0m
Reported budget: $43.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $113.0m (363%)

This Is the End

Dogro to date: $96.8m
Reported budget: $32.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $64.8m (303%)

Clearly, if you wanted the biggest bang for your buck (the highest percentage return), this was a good year to be a horror movie! Counting A Haunted House (a horror comedy…it can count in both), the top four movies were all in that genre.

Note also that the only sequel in this bunch is Despicable Me 2…the rest are all originals.

Despicable Me 2 high budget is an anomaly for this group, but that’s not surprising…the more you spend, the harder it is to triple that at the box office.

We also have a “Money” category, for movies that make twice their production budget…but that’s not really a stand out. We’ll skip those in this post (you can see them at the IMDb link above), and move to the bottom category. We’ll these with the lowest performers first:

Underperformers (dogro under 50% of the production budget): 4 movies to date this year:

Jack the Giant Slayer

Dogro to date: $65.2m
Reported budget: $195.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $-129.8m (34%)

The Lone Ranger

Dogro to date: $88.0m
Reported budget: $215.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: -$127.0m (41%)

After Earth

Dogro to date: $60.5m
Reported budget: $130.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: -$69.5m (47%)

White House Down

Dogro to date: $72.4m
Reported budget: $150.0m

Tentative dogro v production budget profit: $-77.6m (48%)

Does anything group these together? I’d say big stars…which certainly may drive up the production budget, affecting these figures.

Melissa McCarthy has two movies in the Golden category this year…but if her asking price goes up, that may become less likely in the future.

It is still possible that White House Down will earn enough to move out of this category. Some movies are making money for quite some time…Iron Man 2 added another million the last time we updated the list, for example.

Next, let’s take a look at our The Measured Circle Box Office MVPs so far this year:

http://www.imdb.com/list/1qpmYwE-IJs/

This is based on the combined dogros of their movies this year (provided the movie dogroed at least $40 million…that’s our cut off). To qualify, someone needs to have been first-billed in a movie that dogroed at least $100 million this year, and appeared in another movie that dogroed at least $40 million this year.

At some point, we may look at the profitability of movies for actors…that might let them know when to ask for a raise.🙂

Let’s pull some interesting ones from the list:

At the very top is

James Badge Dale

Iron Man 3 ($408.0m); World War Z ($198.0m); The Lone Ranger ($87.7m)

Tentative total: $693.7m

We wouldn’t say the actor is a household name, but Iron Man 3 and World War Z were both seen by a lot of people, so that may change.

Dwayne Johnson

Snitch ($42.9); G.I. Joe: Retaliation ($123.0m); Pain & Gain ($49.8m); Fast & Furious 6 ($238.0m)

had four movies that made that $40m minimum, with two over $100m. “The Rock” is #4 overall, and we think it’s safe to say that Dwayne Johnson is a draw for audiences.

There are some children high on the list, which we think may be an interesting trend.

Joey King (#5)

Oz the Great and Powerful ($235.0m); White House Down ($72.1m); The Conjuring ($128.0m)

Tentative total: $435.1m

was born in 1999.

Sterling Jerins (#17)

World War Z ($198.0m); The Conjuring ($128.0m)

Tentative total: $326.0m

was born in 2004.

They were both in The Conjuring, which certainly helped. When you look at the list, you’ll see a lot of actors who appearing in more than one movie in the same year with another specific actor. That is presumably due to them sharing an agent in some cases.

Shaquille O’Neal (#38)

Shaquille O’Neal: Grown Ups 2 ($127.0m); The Smurfs 2 ($57.7m)

Tentative total: $184.7m

surprised us. Shaq’s movie career didn’t really take off in the mid-1990s, and the former basketball star only has 11 total IMDb acting credits. Kudos to an actor so well-known for physicality for making the list with a voice role!

It is very hard to be on the list year after year. If you make big budget spectaculars it may take so long to do one that it limits your opportunities the following year. However, here are two that are on the list year, and were on it in 2012:

John Goodman (#6)

Last year: #49, $285.7m

The Hangover Part III ($112.0m); Monsters University ($261.0m); The Internship ($44.6m)

Tentative total: $417.6m

Goodman (a personal fave…we thought the former sitcom star deserved a best supporting actor nom last year) increased the take. We were hoping Goodman’s Amazon pilot wasn’t picked up…for one thing, we didn’t like it, but for another, it will limit big screen opportunities. Goodman still has another movie which might make the list to come this year (The Monuments Men).

Channing Tatum

Last year: #32, $377.0m

G.I. Joe: Retaliation ($123.0m); White House Down ($72.1m); This Is the End ($96.7m)

Tentative total: $291.8m

Well, there is a lot more movie year left to go! Looking forward to it…

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog.

One Response to “Movies through Labor Day 2013”

  1. On the Circumference #4: Keep on Rowling, more than twice as many Americans believe UFOs could be ETs than believe in non-divine evolution? | The Measured Circle Says:

    […] Irregularly published, irregularly conceived « Movies through Labor Day 2013 […]

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s


%d bloggers like this: