Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness 2012

Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness 2012

For more than twenty years, I’ve been doing an Oscar prediction contest.  If you are interested in playing, comment this post and I’ll send you the spreadsheet and the instructions.  I’ll keep your post private: I will get your e-mail address, but I won’t publish it on the blog.

The more people we get, the more accurate we tend to be.  I’ll put out the group’s predictions before the Oscars are announced on February 26th.

Important note: there is no fee to play the real game, and we only play for that most valuable of human possessions…bragging rights. 

As I did last year, I’m going to publicly put out my own predictions before I get any from anybody playing the game. I’m not overly confident in some categories…we’ll see.

category Movie Nominee ranking
Best Picture The Artist Thomas Langmann 9
Best Picture The Descendants Jim Burke, Alexander Payne, Jim Taylor 7
Best Picture Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close Scott Rudin 5
Best Picture The Help Brunson Green, Chris Columbus, Michael Barnathan 8
Best Picture Hugo Graham King, Martin Scorsese 4
Best Picture Midnight in Paris Letty Aronson, Stephen Tenenbaum 3
Best Picture Moneyball Michael De Luca, Rachael Horovitz, Brad Pitt 6
Best Picture The Tree of Life Nominees to be determined 2
Best Picture War Horse Steven Spielberg, Kathleen Kennedy 1
Best Actor The Artist Jean Dujardin 5
Best Actor A Better Life Demián Bichir 1
Best Actor The Descendants George Clooney 3
Best Actor Moneyball Brad Pitt 4
Best Actor Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy Gary Oldman 2
Best Actress Albert Nobbs Glenn Close 2
Best Actress The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo Roomey Mara 1
Best Actress The Help Viola Davis 5
Best Actress The Iron Lady Meryl Streep 4
Best Actress My Week with Marilyn Michelle Williams 3
Supporting Actor Beginners Christopher Plummer 5
Supporting Actor Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close Max Von Sydow 4
Supporting Actor Moneyball Jonah Hill 3
Supporting Actor My Week with Marilyn Kenneth Branagh 2
Supporting Actor Warrior Nick Nolte 1
Supporting Actress Albert Nobbs Janet McTeer 3
Supporting Actress The Artist Bérénice Bejo 4
Supporting Actress Bridesmaids Melissa McCarthy 2
Supporting Actress The Help Jessica Chastain 1
Supporting Actress The Help Octavia Spencer 5
Director The Artist Michel Hazanavicius 5
Director The Descendants Alexander Payne 2
Director Hugo Martin Scorsese 4
Director Midnight in Paris Woody Allen 1
Director The Tree of Life Terrence Malick 3
Foreign Language  Film Bullhead Michae R. Roskam: Belgium 2
Foreign Language  Film Footnote Joseph Cedar: Israel 4
Foreign Language  Film In Darkness Agnieszka Holland: Poland 3
Foreign Language  Film Monsieur Lazhar Philippe Falardeau: Canada 1
Foreign Language  Film A Separation Asghar Farhadi: Iran 5
Adapted Screenplay The Descendants Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, Jim Rash 4
Adapted Screenplay Hugo John Logan 3
Adapted Screenplay The Ides of March George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau  Willimon 1
Adapted Screenplay Moneyball Steven Zaillian, Aaron Sorkin, Stan Chervin 5
Adapted Screenplay Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy Bridget O’Connor, Peter Straughan 2
Original Screenplay The Artist Michel Hazanavicius 4
Original Screenplay Bridesmaids Kristen Wiig, Annie Mumolo 3
Original Screenplay Margin Call J.C. Chandor 1
Original Screenplay Midnight in Paris Woody Allen 5
Original Screenplay A Separation Asghar Farhadi 2
Art Direction The Artist Laurence Bennett, Robert Gould 5
Art Direction Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 Stuart Craig, Stephenie McMillan 2
Art Direction Hugo Dante Ferretti, Francesca Lo Schiavo 4
Art Direction Midnight in Paris Anne Seibel, Hélène Dubreuil 3
Art Direction War Horse Rick Carter, Lee Sandales 1
Cinematography The Artist Guillaume Schiffman 5
Cinematography The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo Jeff Cronenweth 4
Cinematography Hugo Robert Richardson 3
Cinematography The Tree of Life Emmanuel Lubezki 2
Cinematography War Horse Janusz Kaminski 1
Sound Mixing The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce, Bo Persson 5
Sound Mixing Hugo Tom Fleischman, John Midgley 3
Sound Mixing Moneyball Deb Adair, Ron Bochar, David Giammarco, Ed Novick 4
Sound Mixing Transformers: Dark of the Moon Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush, Peter J. Devlin 2
Sound Mixing War Horse Gary Rydstrom, Andy Nelson, Tom Johnson, Stuart Wilson 1
Sound Editing Drive Lon Bender, Victor Ray Ennis 4
Sound Editing The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo Ren Klyce 5
Sound Editing Hugo Philip Stockton, Eugene Gearty 3
Sound Editing Transformers: Dark of the Moon Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl 2
Sound Editing War Horse Richard Hymns, Gary Rydstrom 1
Score The Adventures of Tintin John Williams 1
Score The Artist Ludovic Bource 5
Score Hugo Howard Shore 4
Score Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy Alberto Iglesias 2
Score War Horse John Williams 3
Song The Muppets (Man or Muppet) Bret McKenzie 2
Song Rio (Real in Rio) Sergio Mendes, Carlinhos Brown, Siedah Garrett 1
Costume Anonymous Lisy Christi 2
Costume The Artist Mark Bridges 5
Costume Hugo Sandy Powell 4
Costume Jane Eyre Michael O’Connor 3
Costume W.E. Arianne Phillips 1
Documentary Feature Hell and Back Again Danfung Dennis, Mike Lerner 1
Documentary Feature If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front Marshall Curry, Sam Cullman 3
Documentary Feature Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory Joe Berlinger, Bruce Sinofsky 5
Documentary Feature Pina Wim Wenders, Gian-Piero Ringel 4
Documentary Feature Undefeated Daniel Lindsay, T.J. Martin, Rich Middlemas 2
Documentary Short The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil Rights Mvmt Robin Fryday, Gail Dolgin 1
Documentary Short God Is the Bigger Elvis Rebecca Cammisa, Julie Anderson 4
Documentary Short Incident in New Baghdad James Spione 5
Documentary Short Saving Face Daniel Junge, Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy 2
Documentary Short The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom Lucy Walker, Kira Carstensen 3
Editing The Artist Anne-Sophie Bion, Michel Hazanavicius 5
Editing The Descendants Kevin Tent 2
Editing The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo Angus Wall, Kirk Baxter 3
Editing Hugo Thelma Schoonmaker 1
Editing Moneyball Christopher Tellefsen 4
Makeup Albert Nobbs Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnson, Matthew W. Mungle 3
Makeup Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 Nick Dudman, Amanda Knight, Lisa Tomblin 1
Makeup The Iron Lady Mark Coulier, J. Roy Helland 2
Animated Short Dimanche Patrick Doyon 2
Animated Short The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore William Joyce, Brandon Oldenburg 5
Animated Short La Luna Enrico Casarosa 3
Animated Short A Morning Stroll Grant Orchard, Sue Goffe 1
Animated Short Wild Life Amanda Forbis, Wendy Tilby 4
Live Action Short Pentecost Peter MacDonald 2
Live Action Short Raju Max Zähle, Stefan Giere 3
Live Action Short The Shore Terry George, Oorlagh George 5
Live Action Short Time Freak Andrew Bowler, Gigi Cause 4
Live Action Short Tuba Atlantic Hallvar Witzø 1
Visual Effects Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 Tim Burke, David Vickery, Greg Butler, John Richardson 3
Visual Effects Hugo Robert Legato, Joss Williams, Ben Grossmann, Alex Henning 5
Visual Effects Real Steel Erik Nash, John Rosengrant, Danny Gordon Taylor, Swen Gillberg 1
Visual Effects Rise of the Planet of the Apes Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White, Daniel Barrett 4
Visual Effects Transformers: Dark of the Moon Scott Farrar, Scott Benza, Matthew E. Butler, John Frazier 2
Animated Feature A Cat in Paris Alain Gagnol, Jean-Loup Felicioli 4
Animated Feature Chico & Rita Fernando Trueba, Javier Mariscal 5
Animated Feature Kung Fu Panda 2 Jennifer Yuh 2
Animated Feature Puss in Boots Chris Miller 1
Animated Feature Rango Gore Verbinski 3

There you go!  Now you’ll be able to see later how I did.

Remember, if you’d like to play the traditional Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness, and help our group accuracy, just comment this post and let me know, and I’ll send you the entry form.  Group entries are fine.

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog.

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4 Responses to “Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness 2012”

  1. Book, Interrupted « I Love My Kindle Says:

    [...] Off topic: if you are a movie fan, you might be interested in my annual BOPMadness (Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness) game. There is no charge for anybody to play. I mentioning here because of the limited time left (the Oscars are a week from today). For more information, see this post in The Measured Circle. [...]

  2. Deb Schmalz Says:

    I thought “The Artist” was very good, but I didn’t know that other people who filled out polls (usually those who feel strongly) so agreed felt the same. I’m usually the one with her bum hanging out.

    • Bufo Calvin Says:

      Thanks for writing on this blog, Deb! :)

      We just saw The Artist today. I thought Jean Dujardin’s performance was pitch perfect. I watch silent movies, and really thought he hit it. I thought Bérénice Bejo was good, but not great.

      Some of the technical aspects were outstanding. I was so impressed with the art direction, and the sound editing was amongst the best I’ve heard.

  3. 2012 BOPMadness Oscar Group Predictions « The Measured Circle Says:

    [...] To see my own predictions, see this earlier post [...]

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