Bufo's Oscar Prediction Madness 2012

Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness 2012

For more than twenty years, I’ve been doing an Oscar prediction contest.  If you are interested in playing, comment this post and I’ll send you the spreadsheet and the instructions.  I’ll keep your post private: I will get your e-mail address, but I won’t publish it on the blog.

The more people we get, the more accurate we tend to be.  I’ll put out the group’s predictions before the Oscars are announced on February 26th.

Important note: there is no fee to play the real game, and we only play for that most valuable of human possessions…bragging rights. 

As I did last year, I’m going to publicly put out my own predictions before I get any from anybody playing the game. I’m not overly confident in some categories…we’ll see.

category	Movie	Nominee	ranking
Best Picture	The Artist	Thomas Langmann	9
Best Picture	The Descendants	Jim Burke, Alexander Payne, Jim Taylor	7
Best Picture	Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close	Scott Rudin	5
Best Picture	The Help	Brunson Green, Chris Columbus, Michael Barnathan	8
Best Picture	Hugo	Graham King, Martin Scorsese	4
Best Picture	Midnight in Paris	Letty Aronson, Stephen Tenenbaum	3
Best Picture	Moneyball	Michael De Luca, Rachael Horovitz, Brad Pitt	6
Best Picture	The Tree of Life	Nominees to be determined	2
Best Picture	War Horse	Steven Spielberg, Kathleen Kennedy	1
Best Actor	The Artist	Jean Dujardin	5
Best Actor	A Better Life	Demián Bichir	1
Best Actor	The Descendants	George Clooney	3
Best Actor	Moneyball	Brad Pitt	4
Best Actor	Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy	Gary Oldman	2
Best Actress	Albert Nobbs	Glenn Close	2
Best Actress	The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo	Roomey Mara	1
Best Actress	The Help	Viola Davis	5
Best Actress	The Iron Lady	Meryl Streep	4
Best Actress	My Week with Marilyn	Michelle Williams	3
Supporting Actor	Beginners	Christopher Plummer	5
Supporting Actor	Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close	Max Von Sydow	4
Supporting Actor	Moneyball	Jonah Hill	3
Supporting Actor	My Week with Marilyn	Kenneth Branagh	2
Supporting Actor	Warrior	Nick Nolte	1
Supporting Actress	Albert Nobbs	Janet McTeer	3
Supporting Actress	The Artist	Bérénice Bejo	4
Supporting Actress	Bridesmaids	Melissa McCarthy	2
Supporting Actress	The Help	Jessica Chastain	1
Supporting Actress	The Help	Octavia Spencer	5
Director	The Artist	Michel Hazanavicius	5
Director	The Descendants	Alexander Payne	2
Director	Hugo	Martin Scorsese	4
Director	Midnight in Paris	Woody Allen	1
Director	The Tree of Life	Terrence Malick	3
Foreign Language  Film	Bullhead	Michae R. Roskam: Belgium	2
Foreign Language  Film	Footnote	Joseph Cedar: Israel	4
Foreign Language  Film	In Darkness	Agnieszka Holland: Poland	3
Foreign Language  Film	Monsieur Lazhar	Philippe Falardeau: Canada	1
Foreign Language  Film	A Separation	Asghar Farhadi: Iran	5
Adapted Screenplay	The Descendants	Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, Jim Rash	4
Adapted Screenplay	Hugo	John Logan	3
Adapted Screenplay	The Ides of March	George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau  Willimon	1
Adapted Screenplay	Moneyball	Steven Zaillian, Aaron Sorkin, Stan Chervin	5
Adapted Screenplay	Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy	Bridget O’Connor, Peter Straughan	2
Original Screenplay	The Artist	Michel Hazanavicius	4
Original Screenplay	Bridesmaids	Kristen Wiig, Annie Mumolo	3
Original Screenplay	Margin Call	J.C. Chandor	1
Original Screenplay	Midnight in Paris	Woody Allen	5
Original Screenplay	A Separation	Asghar Farhadi	2
Art Direction	The Artist	Laurence Bennett, Robert Gould	5
Art Direction	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2	Stuart Craig, Stephenie McMillan	2
Art Direction	Hugo	Dante Ferretti, Francesca Lo Schiavo	4
Art Direction	Midnight in Paris	Anne Seibel, Hélène Dubreuil	3
Art Direction	War Horse	Rick Carter, Lee Sandales	1
Cinematography	The Artist	Guillaume Schiffman	5
Cinematography	The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo	Jeff Cronenweth	4
Cinematography	Hugo	Robert Richardson	3
Cinematography	The Tree of Life	Emmanuel Lubezki	2
Cinematography	War Horse	Janusz Kaminski	1
Sound Mixing	The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo	David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce, Bo Persson	5
Sound Mixing	Hugo	Tom Fleischman, John Midgley	3
Sound Mixing	Moneyball	Deb Adair, Ron Bochar, David Giammarco, Ed Novick	4
Sound Mixing	Transformers: Dark of the Moon	Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush, Peter J. Devlin	2
Sound Mixing	War Horse	Gary Rydstrom, Andy Nelson, Tom Johnson, Stuart Wilson	1
Sound Editing	Drive	Lon Bender, Victor Ray Ennis	4
Sound Editing	The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo	Ren Klyce	5
Sound Editing	Hugo	Philip Stockton, Eugene Gearty	3
Sound Editing	Transformers: Dark of the Moon	Ethan Van der Ryn, Erik Aadahl	2
Sound Editing	War Horse	Richard Hymns, Gary Rydstrom	1
Score	The Adventures of Tintin	John Williams	1
Score	The Artist	Ludovic Bource	5
Score	Hugo	Howard Shore	4
Score	Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy	Alberto Iglesias	2
Score	War Horse	John Williams	3
Song	The Muppets (Man or Muppet)	Bret McKenzie	2
Song	Rio (Real in Rio)	Sergio Mendes, Carlinhos Brown, Siedah Garrett	1
Costume	Anonymous	Lisy Christi	2
Costume	The Artist	Mark Bridges	5
Costume	Hugo	Sandy Powell	4
Costume	Jane Eyre	Michael O’Connor	3
Costume	W.E.	Arianne Phillips	1
Documentary Feature	Hell and Back Again	Danfung Dennis, Mike Lerner	1
Documentary Feature	If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front	Marshall Curry, Sam Cullman	3
Documentary Feature	Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory	Joe Berlinger, Bruce Sinofsky	5
Documentary Feature	Pina	Wim Wenders, Gian-Piero Ringel	4
Documentary Feature	Undefeated	Daniel Lindsay, T.J. Martin, Rich Middlemas	2
Documentary Short	The Barber of Birmingham: Foot Soldier of the Civil Rights Mvmt	Robin Fryday, Gail Dolgin	1
Documentary Short	God Is the Bigger Elvis	Rebecca Cammisa, Julie Anderson	4
Documentary Short	Incident in New Baghdad	James Spione	5
Documentary Short	Saving Face	Daniel Junge, Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy	2
Documentary Short	The Tsunami and the Cherry Blossom	Lucy Walker, Kira Carstensen	3
Editing	The Artist	Anne-Sophie Bion, Michel Hazanavicius	5
Editing	The Descendants	Kevin Tent	2
Editing	The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo	Angus Wall, Kirk Baxter	3
Editing	Hugo	Thelma Schoonmaker	1
Editing	Moneyball	Christopher Tellefsen	4
Makeup	Albert Nobbs	Martial Corneville, Lynn Johnson, Matthew W. Mungle	3
Makeup	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2	Nick Dudman, Amanda Knight, Lisa Tomblin	1
Makeup	The Iron Lady	Mark Coulier, J. Roy Helland	2
Animated Short	Dimanche	Patrick Doyon	2
Animated Short	The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore	William Joyce, Brandon Oldenburg	5
Animated Short	La Luna	Enrico Casarosa	3
Animated Short	A Morning Stroll	Grant Orchard, Sue Goffe	1
Animated Short	Wild Life	Amanda Forbis, Wendy Tilby	4
Live Action Short	Pentecost	Peter MacDonald	2
Live Action Short	Raju	Max Zähle, Stefan Giere	3
Live Action Short	The Shore	Terry George, Oorlagh George	5
Live Action Short	Time Freak	Andrew Bowler, Gigi Cause	4
Live Action Short	Tuba Atlantic	Hallvar Witzø	1
Visual Effects	Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2	Tim Burke, David Vickery, Greg Butler, John Richardson	3
Visual Effects	Hugo	Robert Legato, Joss Williams, Ben Grossmann, Alex Henning	5
Visual Effects	Real Steel	Erik Nash, John Rosengrant, Danny Gordon Taylor, Swen Gillberg	1
Visual Effects	Rise of the Planet of the Apes	Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, R. Christopher White, Daniel Barrett	4
Visual Effects	Transformers: Dark of the Moon	Scott Farrar, Scott Benza, Matthew E. Butler, John Frazier	2
Animated Feature	A Cat in Paris	Alain Gagnol, Jean-Loup Felicioli	4
Animated Feature	Chico & Rita	Fernando Trueba, Javier Mariscal	5
Animated Feature	Kung Fu Panda 2	Jennifer Yuh	2
Animated Feature	Puss in Boots	Chris Miller	1
Animated Feature	Rango	Gore Verbinski	3

There you go!  Now you’ll be able to see later how I did.

Remember, if you’d like to play the traditional Bufo’s Oscar Prediction Madness, and help our group accuracy, just comment this post and let me know, and I’ll send you the entry form.  Group entries are fine.

This post by Bufo Calvin originally appeared in the The Measured Circle blog.

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